NFL Week 11 trend plays: Steelers, Chiefs in strong chalk spots
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Each week, we highlight the best NFL betting trends and angles to consider as you prepare for the weekend's action. The trends have gone a combined 1-7 over the last two weeks after a solid six-week run. We're aiming to see them bounce back in Week 11.
Here are some notable trends to watch for this week.
Steelers (-10, 46.5) @ Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET
Few trends are as strong as ones backing big favorites on the road. Since 2016, double-digit favorites are 74-49-5 against the spread (60.2%), including 17-9-2 ATS on the road in that spot and 15-5-1 ATS since 2018. The Steelers have gone 6-2 ATS this year as favorites, while the Jaguars are 6-11 ATS in their last 17 as underdogs.
Trend play: Steelers -10
Eagles @ Browns (-3.5, 47.5), 1 p.m.
Get ready for some points in this one. The Eagles are 8-2-1 to the over across their last 11 road contests and 11-6-1 to the over in their last 18 against AFC foes. Meanwhile, the Browns are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 as favorites and 8-3 to the over since 2017 after scoring 10 points or fewer in their previous game.
Trend play: Over 47.5
Dolphins (-3, 45) @ Broncos, 4:05 p.m.
The Dolphins are the hottest team to bet in the league, as they're riding a five-game ATS winning streak into Sunday's meeting with the Broncos. Miami has gone 16-5 ATS in its last 21 contests and 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 against AFC West opponents.
Trend play: Dolphins -3
Chiefs (-7.5, 57) @ Raiders, 8:20 p.m.
The Chiefs are trends darlings in almost any spot, and that's certainly the case here. Kansas City is 10-5 ATS against the Raiders since 2013 and 19-7-1 ATS in divisional games since 2016, including 10-2 ATS in the second meeting of the season. KC is also 11-4 ATS when giving seven or more points since 2019 and has covered four straight after a week off.
Trend play: Chiefs -7.5
(Odds source: theScore Bet)
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.