HOUSTON, TX - OCTOBER 15: C.J. Stroud #7 of the Houston Texans reacts after a play against the New Orleans Saints during the first half at NRG Stadium on October 15, 2023 in Houston, Texas.

NFL MVP odds update: Can Stroud pull off historic feat?

3 years ago
Cooper Neill / Getty Images Sport / Getty

The Houston Texans seem to have found their quarterback of the future.

C.J. Stroud continued his impressive rookie campaign by leading a game-winning drive on the road over Joe Burrow and the Bengals on Sunday.

Stroud's now thrown for 2,626 yards, 15 touchdowns, and only two interceptions this year.

As a result, the former Ohio State standout is running away with the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. He's priced at -2500 to claim the honor, which equates to an implied probability of 96.2%.

Stroud is now garnering attention in the MVP market thanks to his sensational play and the Texans' surprising 5-4 record.

MVP odds

Player Odds
Patrick Mahomes +300
Jalen Hurts +375
Lamar Jackson +400
Tua Tagovailoa +750
Joe Burrow +1000
Christian McCaffrey +1600
Josh Allen +2000
Brock Purdy +2500
C.J. Stroud +2500
Jared Goff +2500
Dak Prescott +4000
Trevor Lawrence +4000
Tyreek Hill +4000

Stroud is +2500 (3.8% implied probability) to become the first rookie to win the MVP award since Jim Brown did so in 1957. He'd become the first-ever quarterback to pull off the feat if he can vault a list of the league's biggest stars.

His odds of winning MVP have shortened drastically over the past two months. Stroud was +7500 prior to Week 10 and +25000 (bet $10, win $2,500) on Sept. 25.

However, he has no shot at the award if his Texans don't make the playoffs. They're currently +110 to punch their ticket to the postseason. Their remaining schedule is on the easier side, though, with only two of eight games against teams with a winning record.

Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Lamar Jackson - three quarterbacks leading teams in consideration for the best in the league - top the betting board. But no one has truly separated themselves from the pack, which could be the perfect recipe for Stroud to make history.

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