NFL Week 10 teaser: Sell high on Vikings, Dolphins
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As promised, we didn't even need the points in Week 9. Both the Giants and Dolphins were outright winners as we cruised to one of the easier teaser hits we'll ever have.
Let's continue our winning ways in Week 10.
Chargers @ Dolphins, Nov. 15 @ 1 p.m. ET
Line: Chargers +2.5
Teaser line: Chargers +8.5
Death, taxes, and the Chargers finding creative ways to lose. I'm not sure what was worse, Anthony Lynn's time management or the team throwing back-to-back fades with a chance to walk it off against the Raiders. Two things remain very clear about this team: It's always competitive, and Lynn has to go. The Chargers sit 2-6, with an average margin of defeat at a meager four points. They've yet to lose a game by more than a touchdown.
This team plays well on both sides of the ball but is consistently undone by bad situational coaching. The talent gap between these two clubs is marginal, with the Chargers arguably even holding a slight edge. But what makes them so dangerous to back at +2.5 is the massive coaching disparity. Brian Flores continues to do a remarkable job with the Dolphins, while Lynn is on borrowed time.
Miami is playing as well as it has all season and has its own rookie quarterback to be excited about in Tua Tagovailoa, but Justin Herbert is simply on another level right now. He's averaging three touchdowns a game over the last five weeks and over 300 yards per contest on the season, and he has a point to prove here against the Dolphins, who passed on him in the draft. There's a risk at +2.5 due to the Chargers' incompetent coaching staff, but at +8.5, I feel incredibly comfortable with their ability to at least keep this a one-score game.
Vikings @ Bears, Nov. 16 @ 8:15 p.m.
Line: Bears +3
Teaser line: Bears +9
If you read yesterday's parlay article, you'd see I'm all over the Bears this week. Not only is it a great buy-low spot on Chicago, but it's the perfect spot to sell high on the Vikings, who've hit their stride of late as a result of their success running the ball.
When Dalvin Cook gets going, Minnesota is able to sustain long drives, control the clock, and lighten the load on Kirk Cousins. Cook has been playing at an MVP level over the past two weeks, but that success has come against two of the league's worst run defenses. The Bears don't fall into that category, ranking seventh in efficiency against the run, and they've had Cook's number, limiting him to just 2.5 yards per carry in three career meetings and just 2.0 in two games at Soldier Field.
Minnesota's ability to run the ball of late has also sheltered its defense by keeping the unit on the sideline. Supposed defensive improvements over the past month are being overblown as a result. The Vikings still can't get an ounce of pressure on the quarterback, placing added strain on a thin secondary. With a clean pocket to throw out of, Nick Foles and this struggling Bears offense will find a lot more success Monday night against the Vikings, who've had a horrible time at Soldier Field in the Cousins era.
Full teaser: Chargers +8.5, Bears +9 ($110 to win $100)
(Odds source: theScore Bet)
Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for theScore. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.