NFL odds: Which team will lead the league in scoring?
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There are a lot of high-powered offenses in the NFL today and bettors can wager on which one will average the most points for the 2020 regular season. Last year, the Baltimore Ravens led the way with 33.2 points per game, followed by the San Francisco 49ers (29.9), New Orleans Saints (28.6), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (28.6), and Kansas City Chiefs (28.2).
Here are the odds to lead the NFL in scoring this season, along with a breakdown of the field.
|Kansas City Chiefs||+600|
|San Francisco 49ers||+800|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+900|
|New Orleans Saints||+1000|
|Green Bay Packers||+2000|
|Los Angeles Rams||+2200|
|New England Patriots||+2500|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+5000|
Odds listed for teams +5000 and shorter
The five highest-scoring teams from 2019 top the oddsboard this season, led by the Chiefs at +600. Kansas City averaged over 28 points on its way to a Super Bowl title, despite star quarterback Patrick Mahomes missing three games with a knee injury. Including the playoffs, the Chiefs scored 30-plus points seven times with Mahomes under center and return all the key pieces to the offense.
The Ravens (+700) are interesting because reigning MVP Lamar Jackson and Baltimore's new-look offensive attack took the NFL by storm last season, scoring more than 40 points five times. The question is, now that coaches have had an offseason to study the Ravens' offense, will defenses catch up to it? While a slight regression is likely, Baltimore's offense is loaded and will once again rack up points this season.
The 49ers (+800), Buccaneers (+900), and Saints (+1000) round out the top five. Like the Ravens, the 49ers' dominating ground game is built to last and it's hard to envision San Francisco taking a big step back given all its offensive talent.
The Buccaneers added Tom Brady, and while the offense will have little trouble scoring points, Tampa Bay is a bit overvalued here. Remember, the Bucs played in a lot of shootouts last season thanks to Jameis Winston's league-leading 30 interceptions. The result was Tampa Bay's defense finishing with the worst average starting field position in the NFL. With an improved defense and soon-to-be 43-year-old quarterback, look elsewhere at +900.
Like the Chiefs, New Orleans finished top-five in scoring despite losing its starting quarterback for a portion of the season. Drew Brees missed five games and the Saints still averaged 28.6 points. New Orleans signed Winston this offseason and has Taysom Hill waiting in the wings, making the Saints one of a handful of teams that can lose their starting quarterback and still lead the NFL in scoring.
Team with value
The Los Angeles Rams are the best value on the board at +2200. The Rams averaged 24.6 points last year and could see that number rise in 2020. Los Angeles parted ways with running back Todd Gurley and fields a defense with little depth in one of the NFL's toughest divisions. Sean McVay will rely heavily on Jared Goff and his skilled group of pass-catchers, much like he did at the end of last season when the Rams QB averaged 328.6 yards over the last five games. Expect L.A. to be in plenty of high-scoring shootouts this season.
Sean Payton took some heat for losing in the first round of the playoffs, but overall, he had one of his best seasons as a coach. The offense averaged just under 29 points - even with Brees missing five games - and the unit could be even better in 2020 with the addition of receiver Emmanuel Sanders. New Orleans hasn't averaged fewer than 27.9 points since 2015. With depth at quarterback and one of the best groups of skill position players in the NFL, the Saints are a good bet to lead the league in scoring. Grab them at +1000.
Thomas Casale is theScore's supervising editor of sports betting. He's been following the sports betting industry for almost 30 years. A devoted fan of the wishbone offense, Thomas bets on all sports but specializes in college football, NFL, and college basketball. Find him on Twitter @TheTomCasale.