CFB Week 7 best bets: Choose your own Saturday night adventure

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Stopping short of directly quoting Britney Spears, we did in fact do it again. Another 5-2 week against the spread for the good guys brings us to 26-15-1, and the college betting bankroll is starting to build up as we're hitting at an outrageous 63.4% on our seven Saturday pups per week. Free Britney? More like free money.

Auburn at No. 17 Arkansas (-4.5, 54.5)

As a matter of policy, we don't hold it against teams when they get blown out by Georgia. Everyone gets blown out by Georgia. Auburn gets the task that Arkansas had last week: it must dust itself off after a Bulldogs beatdown and head out on the road as a short underdog.

Arkansas' loss to Ole Miss was rough. Sam Pittman told his players before that game that all of their goals were still in front of them, and that was true. However, it isn't anymore. The Razorbacks have to be deflated, as they no longer have a legit path to an SEC championship.

The more concerning matter for Arkansas is the fact it gave up 324 yards on the ground last week, which isn't a great sign for this week's visit from Tank Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter. The Razorbacks had their own 300-yard rushing game, but Auburn's 22nd-ranked run defense will be a tougher test.

Pick: Auburn +4.5

Duke at Virginia (-10.5, 70)

Duke is still waiting for its first win over a team with a winning record, as its most high-profile game resulted in a beatdown at the hands of North Carolina. Duke spent much of that game on the edge of field-goal range only to shoot itself in the foot.

Virginia can put up points like UNC, but it's more than willing to give them up, too. The Cavaliers came back from down 17 at Louisville despite allowing 8.1 yards per play. Duke's offense is capable enough to stay in the game in Charlottesville.

Pick: Duke +10.5

TCU at No. 4 Oklahoma (-13.5, 65)

To Rattler, or not to Rattler? That is the question for Lincoln Riley. The incumbent Oklahoma quarterback may find himself benched for flashy freshman Caleb Williams. But it's TCU with the signal-caller I trust most in Max Duggan.

For all the excitement over the Red River Rivalry victory, the Sooners still haven't covered any of these big-spread games, and this is exactly the type of spot that is both a letdown for Oklahoma and chance for TCU's Gary Patterson to scare another big brand team in the Big 12.

Pick: TCU +13.5

Iowa State at Kansas State (+6.5, 51)

It's Brock-tober, you say? As much as I like a game handicap based entirely on a pun, this is the spot we've been waiting for with Kansas State.

Skylar Thompson returned two weeks ago to throw for 320 yards on Oklahoma, but his last-minute inclusion in the lineup came with a caveat: he wasn't allowed to run for fear of injury aggravation. Since then he's had two weeks to rest and rehab, so here's hoping he has no restrictions and can help grind this one into a tight affair, and maybe a rare second-month loss for Brock Purdy.

Pick: Kansas State +6.5

No. 13 Mississippi at Tennessee (+2.5, 82.5)

If your Saturday nights are getting a little dull, don't worry, you can experience Amsterdam's red-light district right from your couch this week. Ole Miss has chosen chaos for the third straight week, visiting Tennessee, which isn't just playing fast under first-year coach Josh Heupel, it's scoring fast.

Since Hendon Hooker has taken over the offense, the former UCF boss' system has clicked, which is exactly how you'd describe Lane Kiffin's offense, as well. The total is not a misprint, so buckle up, as we take a tiny slice of the points relative to the number that will be scored on Saturday night.

Pick: Tennessee +2.5

Army at Wisconsin (-14, 39)

If knitting, yawning, and wondering if it's time for bed yet are more your speed, then this is the game for you. In fact, here's a prediction: this game ends before Ole Miss and Tennessee, despite starting a half-hour later.

Both teams will run the ball, over, and over, and over. The clock will tick on, and with neither team able to surpass 20 points, the value of each point required for a Wisconsin cover will feel like it's worth its weight in Brie.

Pick: Army +14

Air Force at Boise State (-4, 51)

If Air Force just randomly drops the football repeatedly, like BYU did last week, then Boise is the deserving favorite here. However, can it be as simple as us thinking Air Force is just the better team here?

The Broncos took full advantage of BYU's miscues, and this game is being played on the vaunted blue turf, so I understand why the home team is the favorite in this one. But the Falcons have shown they're contenders in the Mountain West and are live for the upset.

Pick: Air Force +4

Matt Russell is a betting writer for theScore. If there’s a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.

CFB Week 7 best bets: Choose your own Saturday night adventure
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