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NFL divisional round-robin anytime touchdown parlay

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We had quite a ride last week, as our makeshift round-robin parlay saw our first four touchdown scorers find the end zone - all in the first half. It all seemed so easy. Then, on Monday night, Tom Brady couldn't, or wouldn't, find Chris Godwin for a touchdown despite 13 targets and numerous forays near the goal line. Nevertheless, we were pleased with what was at least a 15-unit win, and we're back by popular demand for a reworked divisional round robin.

How it works

With just four games, and most sportsbooks unwilling to allow more than one scorer per game in a parlay, we have to tweak the format. We'll parlay four touchdown scorers in five different parlays. Using every combination of a four-player parlay is called a round robin. We'll divide one betting unit into five mini-bets: four three-player parlays and one four-player parlay, each for .2 units. Three players scoring should pay in the neighborhood of 4-to-1. If all four players score, you'll be diving into a silo of gold doubloons like a young Scrooge McDuck.

Who to play

*All odds from theScore Bet

Kadarius Toney (+190)

Kadarius Toney joined the Chiefs midseason only to miss time with an injury after just a couple of weeks. However, upon his return, Toney's seen the field for at least 30% of the Chiefs' offensive snaps. Whether that usage goes up or not, Toney's specialty might still be scoring touchdowns.

Toney scored in two of three games to close the season and was the target of the Chiefs' "Ring around the Rosy" trick play against the Raiders in Week 18. With an extra week for scheming, Toney should continue to play in the same role that saw Mecole Hardman - still out with a pelvic injury - score six combined rushing and receiving touchdowns in just eight games this season.

Daniel Jones (+200)

Daniel Jones had seven total rushing touchdowns in five of his 16 starts this season, so +200 odds are about right from an implied probability standpoint. However, one of those touchdowns came in Jones' lone game against Philadelphia. The Eagles allowed the second-most yards per rush to opposing quarterbacks this season despite a schedule that only featured Jones, Justin Fields, and Kyler Murray as truly dangerous dual-threat quarterbacks.

The 6'5 Jones is tipping the scales at over 230 pounds, making both his size and rushing stats look a lot like Josh Allen, but without the short price to score.

PLAYER LISTED SIZE RUSH YDS TD ODDS
Daniel Jones 6'5 - 230 708 7 +200
Josh Allen 6'5 - 237 762 7 +140

James Cook (+220)

We relied on James Cook to find the end zone in a singular wager last week, and he came through for us. We'll include him here under the same premise - his price to score a touchdown is too long compared to Devin Singletary's (+160) and Allen's.

Over Buffalo's final five regular-season games, as well as last week's wild-card game, Cook has had 67 touches to Singletary's 70. Cook also finished the season with 5.7 yards per rush to Singletary's 4.6, showing he's more capable of a long touchdown should he burst past D.J. Reader and the Bengals' defensive line.

Brandon Aiyuk (+220)

The 49ers' leader in receiving yards this season didn't have the biggest explosive play last week, as both Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey took off for massive gains. However, Brandon Aiyuk averaged 24 yards on his three catches, showing he's just as dangerous.

Aiyuk led the 49ers in targets, receptions, and yards in last year's playoff game in Dallas. I expect Samuel to be more involved as a rusher like he was last season, while George Kittle will likely have to stay in to help block against the Cowboys' formidable pass rush. Aiyuk runs more routes than any of his Niner teammates, making him just as likely to be on the end of a Brock Purdy touchdown pass as any of his shorter-priced teammates.

Here are how the odds look:

PARLAY ODDS (Approx.)
Toney+Jones+Cook +2700
Toney+Cook+Aiyuk +2800
Toney+Jones+Aiyuk +2800
Jones+Cook+Aiyuk +2900
Toney+Jones+Cook+Aiyuk +9000

Who are your four touchdown scorers for a football betting lottery ticket?

Matt Russell is a betting writer for theScore. If there's a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.

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