Week 10 player prop bets: Lamar will carve up Patriots
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We split on last week's player props, but this Sunday's card is loaded.
Here are the Week 10 plays that should be on your radar.
Mike Williams over 50.5 receiving yards
Williams is starting to look like the No. 2 receiver the Chargers envisioned when they drafted him three years ago. The Clemson product has recorded five-plus catches and 80-plus yards in three of his last four games while also scoring three touchdowns.
The 26-year-old is intriguing here because he could get past this total with one or two catches. He's averaging 9.8 yards per target and 17.1 yards per reception, ranking No. 9 and 17 in those categories, respectively, among receivers this season.
He'll shatter this total against the Dolphins.
Lamar Jackson over 199.5 passing yards and longest reception over 33.5 yards
Jackson could really use a big game here. Although the Ravens still have the makeup of a contender, the reigning MVP's production pales in comparison to his numbers last season.
The dual-threat quarterback is largely responsible for Baltimore's passing offense ranking just No. 23 in DVOA, a year after grading out as the league's best. Jackson hasn't logged a quarterback rating better than 100 since Week 4.
Sunday night's prime-time clash against the Patriots could be an ideal get-right spot for the Ravens' passing offense. New England is uncharacteristically last in the NFL in explosive pass rate allowed, and No. 30 in DVOA passing defense. This isn't the same unit that was around for all those Super Bowl runs.
Look for Jackson to hush the naysayers with a couple of big plays through the air.
Stafford under 275.5 passing yards
There's a significant step up in competition here for Stafford.
He's faced the Jaguars (No. 32 in DVOA pass defense), Falcons (No. 27), and a depleted Vikings secondary over the last four weeks. Stafford draws the Washington Football Team this Sunday, which leads the NFL in pass defense.
Expect him to struggle, especially without No. 1 receiver Kenny Golladay due to an injury.
Metcalf's longest reception under 28.5 yards
Warning: This bet isn't for the faint of heart.
Metcalf has exploded onto the scene during his sophomore season. He's become the Seahawks' No. 1 target while developing into a splash-play machine, recording a 37-plus-yard catch in seven of eight games this season.
However, Sunday's matchup against the Rams will be one of the toughest for Seattle's offense all year.
L.A. doesn't concede many big gains through the air while ranking No. 1 in explosive pass rate allowed. From a fantasy perspective, the Rams' defense surrenders the second-fewest points per game to wide receivers, making Metcalf a rare fade in this spot.
(Odds source: theScore Bet)
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.