JACKSONVILLE, FL - DECEMBER 08: Los Angeles Chargers Quarterback Philip Rivers (17) and Los Angeles Chargers Quarterback Tyrod Taylor (5) during the game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Jacksonville Jaguars on December 8, 2019 at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fl.

Best bets for Chargers' next QB, Rivers' new team

6 years ago
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Philip Rivers' run with the Chargers is over.

Rivers - who made eight Pro Bowls in 16 years with the only franchise he's ever known - and the Chargers have mutually agreed to part ways. Even before Monday's news, oddsmakers were dealing odds on the team's next signal-caller and where Rivers might end up next season.

Here are the odds for each situation, with a few early values to consider ahead of free agency in March:

Chargers' Week 1 starter

QUARTERBACK ODDS
Tyrod Taylor 3-2
Justin Herbert 5-1
Tua Tagovailoa 6-1
Tom Brady 6-1
Teddy Bridgewater 6-1
Marcus Mariota 12-1
Jameis Winston 12-1
Jordan Love 16-1
Andy Dalton 18-1
Jake Fromm 18-1
Ryan Tannehill 25-1
Dak Prescott 25-1
Colin Kaepernick 100-1
Eli Manning 500-1

Tyrod Taylor (3-2)

Taylor is the runaway favorite for a reason: He's the Chargers' current backup and has started 46 career games. In his three years as Buffalo's full-time starter, he posted an above-average QBR during each season - including top-10 numbers in 2015 and 2016.

The 30-year-old quarterback would also be an easy Week 1 starter if Los Angeles decided to draft an heir apparent, meaning bettors could cash even if Taylor is a band-aid solution. Despite short odds, this could be a bet worth making.

Justin Herbert (5-1)

It's easy to make the case for this pick - Herbert is generating a lot of buzz in mock drafts as the Chargers' choice at No. 6. His football IQ and strong frame resemble Rivers and could be a solid long-term fit in L.A.

Here's why it's a bad bet: laying 5-1 odds on who the Chargers will take in the draft is risky enough. A quarterback as raw as Herbert is 50-50 to start Week 1 even if he is L.A.'s pick, especially with Taylor as a ready-made starter, so there's simply no value here or with the other rookies on the board.

Marcus Mariota (12-1)

If you're swinging for value, this is the bet to make. Mariota is one of the best available talents on the market but was miscast in Tennessee as a deep-ball thrower to complement the team's run game. In Los Angeles, he could fire away on quick routes - where he's among the league's best - to the Chargers' array of top receivers.

PFF predicted Mariota to the Chargers earlier this week, so this isn't a blind dart throw at 12-1. There's real value here.

Philip Rivers' next team

TEAM ODDS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2-1
Indianapolis Colts 3-1
Carolina Panthers 4-1
Las Vegas Raiders 4-1
Miami Dolphins 11-2
New Orleans Saints 20-1
Tennessee Titans 20-1
New England Patriots 33-1
Dallas Cowboys 33-1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)

In late January, with rumors swirling about Rivers' future, the quarterback moved his family to Florida. Naturally, speculation ensued about whether Rivers - who was notoriously unwilling to move his family from San Diego to L.A. - was setting up shop near his next team.

CBS Sports' Jason La Canfora later reported that there was "a lot of buzz" surrounding the Bucs as a landing spot for Rivers, which he reiterated after Monday's news. Bruce Arians' offense would certainly suit the veteran, who's had some of his best years in pass-happy systems.

Indianapolis Colts (3-1)

This was Rivers' predicted landing spot at PFF and among executives polled by ESPN, so there's definitely smoke. Head coach Frank Reich was an assistant with the then-San Diego Chargers from 2013-15, while offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni spent 2013-17 with the franchise, too.

Indy's ceiling is capped with Jacoby Brissett as the team's quarterback. The Colts' stellar offensive line could help revitalize Rivers, who saw the seventh-most dropbacks under pressure (225) and recorded the 27th-best passer rating in that spot (71.7).

New England Patriots (33-1)

This isn't as crazy as it sounds. If New England doesn't want to pay $30 million for an aging quarterback, why not pay half of that for comparable production? Last year, Rivers finished with a similar QBR (48.6) as Tom Brady (53.7), and he could allow coach Bill Belichick to prove himself post-Brady without restructuring the offense. At 33-1, it's at least worth considering.

C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.

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