Skip to content

5 betting tips for Week 11 of the NFL season

Andy Lyons / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Need a cheat sheet or some help spotting situational edges with a new week of NFL action fast approaching? We've got you covered.

Here are five spots to look at as you do your homework for Week 11.

Consider the Seahawks' team total over

The Green Bay Packers changed coordinators on both sides of the ball prior to 2018, but one thing remains constant: they continue to give up points away from Lambeau Field.

The Packers were on a 12-2 run to the opponent's team total over (the total number of points set for a team to go over/under in the game) when playing on the road prior to long-time defensive coordinator Dom Capers' dismissal. Since Mike Pettine entered the fold this season, Green Bay's opponents are 3-1 to the team total over when the Packers are away from home. It would be 4-0 if Todd Gurley hadn't purposely gone down inside the five-yard line instead of scoring a walk-in touchdown in Week 8. Green Bay is allowing an average of 29.3 points per game during its 15-3 run to the opponent's team total over on the road.

Expect points early in Bengals-Ravens game

The Cincinnati Bengals were one of the hottest 'over' teams to start the season, rattling off four straight to the over out of the gate. Sunday's divisional clash with the Baltimore Ravens could feature plenty of points, but we're going to focus solely on the first-half total.

Since the start of the 2017 season - when the Bengals fired Ken Zampese and promoted Bill Lazor - Cincinnati is on a scorching 11-0-1 run to the first-half over (the total number of points set for the first half of a game) in its last 12 road situations. The Bengals and their opponents have combined for an average of 28.8 first-half points over that 12-game span, and an even 36.0 this season alone.

Continue to fade the Buccaneers' defense on the road

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast the league's second-worst defense in terms of yards per play allowed this season. They've shown some signs of competency at home this season, allowing 22.5 points per game, but it's the Buccaneers' play away from Raymond James Stadium that's provided one of the more profitable angles this season.

Through five road games, Tampa Bay is allowing 40.2 points per contest, with all five opponents hitting the team total over.

The Saints will score - but so will the Eagles

The New Orleans Saints are expected to put up another big number this Sunday, but it's their Week 11 opponents who might surpass their team total easier.

The Philadelphia Eagles' offense hasn't skipped a beat away from home under third-year quarterback Carson Wentz. The Eagles have flown past their team total in nine of his last 11 road starts, averaging 27.6 points over the full 11-game stretch. Given the Saints' ability to score early and often, Wentz and Co. should have plenty of opportunities to score on a defense that is giving up 6.2 adjusted yards per play this season.

Raiders struggling to score versus NFC teams

The Oakland Raiders finish their non-conference slate Sunday when they face the Arizona Cardinals in the last of four games against the NFC West. The Raiders' offense has scored 10 points or fewer in four of its last five games and desperately needs to bust the slump, but recent history suggests that won't happen.

Oakland heads into Week 11 on a 7-0 run to both the full-game under and the team total under against NFC teams dating back to the start of last season. The Raiders are averaging a paltry 11.4 points over that stretch and have scored 10 points or fewer in more than half of those games.

Alex Kolodziej is theScore's betting writer. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 11 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AlexKoIodziej.

Daily Newsletter

Get the latest trending sports news daily in your inbox