Fantasy: 2019 Projections - Will Lions' Johnson explode with Riddick gone?
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Get ready for your season with theScore's 2019 Fantasy Football Draft Kit and subscribe to push notifications in the NFL Fantasy News section.

With training camps approaching, theScore's Justin Boone is releasing his offensive projections for all 32 teams, including his thoughts on every fantasy-relevant player.

Projections are based on the following point values in PPR leagues:

  • Passing Yards: 1 point per 25 yards
  • Passing TDs: 4 points
  • Interceptions: -2 points
  • Rushing Yards: 1 point per 10 yards
  • Rushing TDs: 6 points
  • Receptions: 1 point
  • Receiving Yards: 1 point per 10 yards
  • Receiving TDs: 6 points
  • Fumbles Lost: -2 points
  • Two-point Conversions: 2 points

2019 Fantasy Projections

AFC East
NE | BUF | NYJ | MIA
AFC North
BAL | CIN | PIT | CLE
AFC South
JAX | IND | HOU | TEN
AFC West
DEN | KC | OAK | LAC
NFC East
DAL | PHI | NYG | WAS
NFC North
DET | GB | MIN | CHI
NFC South
ATL | NO | CAR | TB
NFC West
LAR | SF | SEA | ARI

Detroit Lions

Matthew Stafford, QB

Fantasy Points 221.44
Attempts 531
Completions 349
Pass Yards 3871
Pass TDs 22
INTs 11
Carries 27
Rush Yards 86
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 4
2PT 0

For the majority of his career, Stafford had benefitted from being at the helm of a high-volume passing attack. That's why Matt Patricia's decision to veer toward a run-heavy scheme last year hurt his QB's production more than anyone's. Stafford was held under 4,000 yards for the first time since 2010, pushing him out of the fantasy conversation by season's end. Supporters will point to his back injury and the midseason losses of both Golden Tate (trade) and Marvin Jones (injured reserve) as the reasons for his demise, but the changes to the offense are a bigger factor. Under this coaching staff, Stafford is a low-end QB2 in fantasy.

Quarterback depth: If backup Tom Savage is ever called into duty, we would need to re-evaluate the fantasy outlooks for every pass-catcher in this offense. At best, Savage could maintain one solid fantasy weapon out of Jones and Kenny Golladay.

Kerryon Johnson, RB

Fantasy Points 248
Carries 219
Rush Yards 1068
Rush TDs 7
Fumbles Lost 1
Targets 69
Receptions 57
Rec. Yards 382
Rec. TDs 1
2PT 0

Even before the release of pass-catching specialist Theo Riddick, we had Johnson at the top of our breakout candidates for 2019. With Riddick out of the equation, Johnson becomes a potential top-12 fantasy back. As a rookie, he amassed at least 85 yards from scrimmage in six of his final eight games and showed off his receiving skills with 17 grabs over his final four appearances. New offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell coached Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch during some of their biggest fantasy campaigns; Johnson is next.

C.J. Anderson, RB

Fantasy Points 80.7
Carries 124
Rush Yards 445
Rush TDs 3
Fumbles Lost 0
Targets 16
Receptions 11
Rec. Yards 72
Rec. TDs 1
2PT 0

The Lions' offense topped 400 carries last season - the first time it reached that mark since 2013. The arrival of Bevell could push the number even higher, which means Anderson should see plenty of carries as the No. 2 option. Still, it won't be enough for him to have weekly fantasy value unless Johnson misses time again. It's worth noting that Anderson's ADP in the 16th round doesn't seem to properly reflect his upside as Johnson's handcuff. He's worth stashing with one of your final picks.

Running back depth: Riddick's departure also opened up a path to production for Ty Johnson, who's a more explosive runner and receiver at this stage of their respective careers. The rookie's main contributions will come as a returner, but if Kerryon goes down, Ty should take on a third-down role while Anderson handles the heavy lifting.

Kenny Golladay, WR

Fantasy Points 206.2
Targets 113
Receptions 67
Rec. Yards 992
Rec. TDs 7
Carries 0
Rush Yards 0
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 1
2PT 0

Golladay emerged a the Lions' go-to receiver last season and a top-24 fantasy option. Even with Jones returning, the 25-year-old Golladay will lead the team in targets again. He's also due for some positive regression in the touchdown department after scoring just five times on 70 catches last year.

Marvin Jones, WR

Fantasy Points 186.3
Targets 102
Receptions 59
Rec. Yards 853
Rec. TDs 7
Carries 0
Rush Yards 0
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 0
2PT 0

Prior to being placed on injured reserve after Week 10, Jones was a top-27 fantasy receiver with 50 yards and/or a touchdown in eight of his nine games. The offense's shift toward the run doesn't help his cause, but Jones' red-zone work will help keep him in the WR3 mix for fantasy.

Receiver depth: Veteran slot receiver Danny Amendola gets a slight stock bump with Riddick gone, but not enough to warrant a roster spot on your fantasy team. Jermaine Kearse is an underrated real-life signing who would be an intriguing replacement if Golladay or Jones suffers an injury.

T.J. Hockenson, TE

Fantasy Points 111.3
Targets 56
Receptions 39
Rec. Yards 483
Rec. TDs 4
Carries 0
Rush Yards 0
Rush TDs 0
Fumbles Lost 0
2PT 0

Rookie tight ends rarely make a fantasy impact - especially those on run-first teams - so expectations need to be kept in check for the Lions' first-round pick. He's still worthy of a late-round upside selection in fantasy drafts, but Hockenson's most likely outcome during Year 1 is being a TE2/bye-week streamer. His presence as a run-blocker is another reason to get excited about Kerryon Johnson.

Tight end depth: In addition to drafting Hockenson, the Lions signed free agent Jesse James, who stepped up on several occasions as a spot starter for the Steelers. He'll play a similar role behind Hockenson in Detroit.

2019 Fantasy Projections

AFC East
NE | BUF | NYJ | MIA
AFC North
BAL | CIN | PIT | CLE
AFC South
JAX | IND | HOU | TEN
AFC West
DEN | KC | OAK | LAC
NFC East
DAL | PHI | NYG | WAS
NFC North
DET | GB | MIN | CHI
NFC South
ATL | NO | CAR | TB
NFC West
LAR | SF | SEA | ARI

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Fantasy: 2019 Projections - Will Lions' Johnson explode with Riddick gone?
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