NBA draft props: How far will Ace Bailey fall?

The NBA draft begins Wednesday night. We laid out a mock draft and broke down the odds for the top 10 picks. You can find all of our draft coverage here.

Now, it's time to go through some props to get a sense of where key players are projected to land. Below are all the over/under draft position props on theScore Bet/ESPN Bet and a few guys to target.

Bailey over 5.5 (-160)

With the Mavericks and Spurs almost certainly selecting Cooper Flagg and Dylan Harper with the top two picks, the draft starts with the Sixers at three. Following the draft lottery, Bailey was -125 to be selected third overall. However, he's completely tanked his stock, canceling his visit to Philadelphia and refusing to work out for any team.

Bailey and his camp are trying to dictate their destination. While Bailey possesses exceptional raw talent, his lone season at Rutgers exposed concerns about his efficiency and shot selection. He's not good enough to act like a diva. He's now +450 to go third overall, as VJ Edgecombe is the favorite at -225.

The Hornets, holding the fourth pick, likely don't have any interest in Bailey, given they already roster similar positional players. The Jazz, choosing fifth, need a high-ceiling star but might not draft someone who has no desire to play for them. There's a high probability Bailey is still on the board when the Wizards are on the clock at six.

Queen under 11.5 (-105)

Derik Queen is one of the most polarizing prospects in the draft. He's an undersized and unathletic big man, creating defensive concerns and questions regarding his fit in certain frontcourts. But the talent is obvious. Queen showcased his passing, ball-handling, driving, footwork, and touch around the rim during his freshman season at Maryland. Big men with guard skills are rare and typically find success in the NBA.

Mock drafts are mostly split on where Queen will land. The Wizards are the earliest he's likely to go, and their scouts frequently took the short drive to College Park to watch him.

Additionally, Troy Weaver left the Wizards' front office for a larger role with the Pelicans, who own the seventh pick, earlier this offseason. Weaver attended many Maryland practices and games, so he's also familiar with Queen. The former Terrapin could slip into the late lottery, but it's hard to imagine many teams passing on an uncommon talent.

Bryant under 10.5 (+140)

Expect Carter Bryant to end up somewhere between the nine and 12 range. And because the under is paying +140, we'll take a shot that he'll get his name called before the 11th pick. Bryant's the second favorite (+500) to get drafted by the Raptors at nine and the favorite to go 10th overall to the Suns (+425).

Bryant is an athletic wing with defensive versatility and spot-up abilities on offense. He doesn't need the ball in his hands to contribute, the archetype Toronto should target.

Richardson under 19.5 (+180)

Jase Richardson didn't earn a green room invite, while 24 other players did. He won't be drafted in the lottery, but there aren't 24 other prospects better than Richardson. Whoever selects the Michigan State guard is getting a steal.

Richardson's floor in the NBA is a solid role player who can contribute to a playoff team. He was one of the most efficient pick-and-roll ball-handlers in the nation during his lone collegiate season and drastically improved offensively as the year progressed. He shot 41% from three and can play on and off the ball.

However, Richardson's height raises concerns about his potential liability defensively. His stock has lowered throughout the draft process, leading to some mocks projecting him to fall in the 20s. Whoever selects Richardson knows they aren't getting a star, but would 20 teams pass on an immediate impact player?

Kalkbrenner selected in 1st round (-150)

Nearly every credible mock draft has the Celtics (28th pick) or the Suns (29th) selecting Ryan Kalkbrenner. The Creighton big is a prototypical rim-running and rim-protecting big. He's not particularly athletic, but his 7-foot-1 frame makes him one of the best rim-protectors in the draft. He averaged over 2.5 blocks the last two seasons.

Kalkbrenner lacks guard skills and was exposed while defending on the perimeter. However, he serves his role well as a fundamentally sound big. Every team can use a player like that. The Suns and Celtics are searching for that archetype on a cheap contract.

Coincidentally, Mark Bartelstein and Priority Sports represent Kalkbrenner. The Suns' CEO is Josh Bartelstein, Mark's son. Many of Priority Sports' clients have played for Phoenix in recent years.

Sam Oshtry is a sports writer at theScore. You can follow him on X @soshtry for more betting coverage.