Skip to content

Will the 76ers avoid elimination in New York?

Jesse D. Garrabrant / National Basketball Association / Getty

Find year-round coverage of betting news and insights for all sports by visiting our Betting section and subscribing to push notifications.

The Knicks and Pacers can advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs with a win Tuesday night. The 76ers and Bucks, once considered favorites to win the East, are on the brink of elimination. Oh, and the Cavaliers and Magic play on NBA TV again.

Here are our three best bets for Tuesday's slate.

76ers team total: Over 99.5 points

The Sixers are on the brink of elimination. While it's been the softer group in this series, Philadelphia won't roll over and quit against a Knicks team it truly believes it's better than.

The Knicks successfully limited Joel Embiid in the second half of Game 4. That was partly because of New York's coverages - timely doubles and fronting the post - and partly due to Embiid's fatigue. The reigning MVP (for another couple of weeks at least) played the entire second half in Game 4, the first time he played 24 straight minutes in a playoff game.

Sixers coach Nick Nurse had a lose-lose dilemma on his hands. He could've sat Embiid and watched his team fall apart in the non-Embiid minutes, which has been a theme all series. Or, he could've played a hobbled Embiid the entire second half. He opted for the latter, and it backfired as Embiid was visibly exhausted, scoring one point and grabbing one rebound in the fourth quarter.

Game 5 will come down to how the Sixers fare without Embiid on the court and if they can rebound effectively. I'd expect a vengeful, aggressive Embiid in Game 5 with his season on the line. Nurse's staff will figure out ways to counteract the Knicks' defensive coverages.

Philly has scored at least 100 points in three of the four games, including both of the contests in New York.

I'm not comfortable taking the points with the Sixers, but I'd wager on their offense to show up.

Odds: -110

Donovan Mitchell: Over 24.5 points

Mitchell's the engine for the Cavs' offense. It goes as he goes. So when Mitchell struggles - like he did the last two games - Cleveland's offense struggles.

But those two games were on the road, and Tuesday's Game 5 is at home. Mitchell was a significantly better scorer at home than on the road all season, which has carried over into the playoffs. He scored 30 and 23 in the first two home games of the series, then 13 and 18 in the last two road games.

The Magic's defense has played a role in stopping Mitchell, but their defense doesn't travel well. Orlando's defensive rating is much better at home than on the road.

The Cavs need Mitchell to show up to earn a win and take a 3-2 series lead. It's fair to expect he'll do that back in Cleveland.

Odds: -112

Tobias Harris: Over 6.5 rebounds

Sixers fans may be fed up with Harris, and he's likely counting the days before he can leave Philadelphia. But the Sixers need Harris and other role players to step up if they're to mount a comeback. That doesn't only include the scoring department.

The difference in this series has been the rebounding battle. The Knicks have grabbed 30 more rebounds than the Sixers. In the two games New York won somewhat decisively, it outrebounded Philly by 22 and 10. In the lone match the Sixers won, they outrebounded the Knicks. In the Game 2 thriller that the Sixers blew in the final seconds, Philadelphia only lost the rebounding battle by two.

Rebounding is the key to Tuesday's elimination game. The Sixers can win if they limit the Knicks on the glass - believe it or not, Philly leads playoff teams in box outs - and prevent New York from generating extra possessions.

That'll require a total team effort, especially in the fourth quarter when Embiid can barely jump for a rebound. Harris recorded at least eight rebounds in three of the four games. He should remain committed to the boards Tuesday night.

Odds: -135

Sam Oshtry is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X @soshtry for more betting coverage.

Daily Newsletter

Get the latest trending sports news daily in your inbox