We're on a run. The Giants were able to grind out a road win versus the Cardinals, and we walked our way to victory against James Kaprielian and his control issues.
Tyler Anderson conceded five runs early and threw well over 100 pitches, but he managed to record exactly 18 hits against the Rangers, which put us in the loss column by a single out.
It was still a profitable 2-1 night at the office, pushing our record to 12-4 since the beginning of last week. We'll look to stay hot with three more plays for Tuesday night's card.
White Sox (+170) @ Dodgers (-200)
Lance Lynn is not in good form. He's sporting a 5.46 ERA over the past 30 days and his FIP (5.34) indicates that it is well deserved. He's not just dealing with a string of bad luck.
Lynn is allowing a concerning amount of hard contact - his rate is nearly 40% in that period - and, on the whole, he's extremely vulnerable to left-handed bats.
That's less than ideal when going up against the Dodgers. Headlined by Freddie Freeman (.407 wOBA versus righties) and Max Muncy (.381 wOBA versus righties), the Dodgers roster several left-handed bats that have given right-handed pitchers a miserable time.
Although Lynn fares much better against right-handed bats, he'll also have to contend with J.D. Martinez, Mookie Betts, and Will Smith, who are all part of an absolutely loaded Dodgers lineup.
I think the Dodgers will get to Lynn early - and often - and plate at least a few runs over the first half of the game.
If Tony Gonsolin can hang in there against a putrid White Sox offense, which ranks 29th in wOBA versus righties over the past month and a half, the Dodgers should lead comfortably at the midway point.
Bet: Dodgers F5 -0.5 (-130)
Dean Kremer under 17.5 outs (-115)
Kremer hasn't often pitched deep into games this season. He's averaged 16 outs per start and gone over the number just five times through 13 games. That's only 38%.
Another relatively short start should be in order against the Blue Jays. Their offense has been very powerful against right-handed pitching this season. They slot third in wRC+, behind only a pair of powerhouse offenses in the Rangers and Rays.
What I love about the Jays is that they're not just a team that swings for the fences every pitch. They grind out a lot of hits and they're disciplined, leading to very few strikeouts. Only five teams have struck out less against righties this season.
Kremer only conceded one run to the Jays the last time he saw them, and he still came nearly a full inning shy of this total. I expect a similar outcome this time around, with Kremer leaving around the five inning mark.
Zack Wheeler under 18.5 outs (-140)
We have to pay a little juice on this one, but I think it's worth the squeeze. Wheeler has only gone over this total three times through 13 starts - and one of those came against an awful Tigers team.
He should have a much harder time going up against an excellent Diamondbacks offense. Led by superstar rookie Corbin Carroll, the D-Backs have destroyed right-handed pitching all season. They rank second in wOBA and have the highest batting average in MLB.
Their June form is fantastic, as the Diamondbacks rank among the top five in wOBA versus righties.
They are an extremely difficult offense to slow down, particularly at the extra-base-friendly Chase Field. Only three teams have recorded more doubles at their home park, while nobody has generated more triples.
As good as Wheeler is, he's going to have a heck of a time slowing down such a strong offense in a good hitting environment. He may grind his way through six, but I don't see him coming out for the seventh inning.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.
