We had a nice bounce-back night on the ice, winning two of three props Wednesday.
Let's try and put together another profitable night with three more plays for a monster Thursday card.
Nico Hischier: Under 3.5 shots
Hischier has gone over this total in six of his past 10 contests, but I don't think his shooting success is sustainable. A soft schedule played a big part in the recent surge, with Hischier putting up ceiling games against bottom-tier teams like the Ducks and Sharks.
He also spent a lot of those matchups with Jesper Bratt, the Devils' most pass-happy forward, on his wing.
Hischier is now centering Timo Meier and Tyler Toffoli (if the latter doesn't sit for trade-related reasons Thursday). Hischier's shot rates are drastically lower with those wingers than with Bratt.
New Jersey's captain has averaged nearly 16 shot attempts per 60 minutes alongside Bratt. He generates just 10.49 with Toffoli and 10.09 with Meier.
Those are the two best goal-scoring wingers on the roster and are shoot-first players. Hischier will have to do much of the distributing and won't often get the puck back once he dishes it out.
It's also worth noting that Hischier generally faces the stiffest competition on home soil, matching up against the opposing team's best players. That's likely why he has a 15% hit rate on a 3.5-shot line at home compared to 39% on the road.
This is a good spot to sell high on Hischier's recent shot volume.
Odds: -140 (playable to -165)
Evander Kane: Over 2.5 shots
Kane is as consistent as they come. He's recorded three-plus shots in 37 of 59 games this season, equating to a 63% hit rate.
Kane's volume is a little higher on home ice, but a matchup against the Blue Jackets more than compensates for playing on the road.
The Jackets consistently play in high-event contests and rank 30th in shots against per game this season and 28th over the past 10 contests. That should bode well for Kane.
He played just 15 minutes when he faced Columbus earlier this year, which is well below his average of more than 17 minutes per game. However, it was still enough time for Kane to go over his total while recording multiple points.
Expect a similar effort from Kane this time around.
Odds: -140 (playable to -160)
Roman Josi: Over 0.5 assists
Josi is an assist machine. He's picked up at least one helper in 19 of his past 30 games and 60% of his home contests for the campaign.
The Predators are scoring goals in bunches right now, and Josi is getting involved in more than his fair share.
That should be the case again Thursday night versus the Sabres. They're not a great team at the best times and find themselves in a road back-to-back situation against one of the hottest sides in the NHL.
Buffalo will also be without Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who started Wednesday night in Toronto.
Eric Comrie is expected to return to the crease, which will be a welcome sight for the Predators. Through eight appearances, Comrie has a .867 save percentage and has conceded nearly four goals per game.
Nashville has scored more goals than all but the Maple Leafs over the past three weeks and should put up a healthy number against Comrie.
Odds: -110 (playable to -130)
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