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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds: Catch a rising star

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The draft came and went last weekend, and all the top prospects found new homes with NFL offenses. While every team believes they've chosen the perfect fit, that's obviously not always the case.

When it comes to the Rookie of the Year Award and its betting market, oddsmakers have weighed in on how successful they think these players will be with their new clubs.

Offensive rookie of the year odds

PLAYER POSITION ODDS
Kenny Pickett QB +500
Drake London WR +650
Breece Hall RB +700
Chris Olave WR +800
Garrett Wilson WR +800
Treylon Burks WR +900
Christian Watson WR +900
Kenneth Walker RB +1000
Skyy Moore WR +1200
Jameson Williams WR +1300
James Cook RB +1300
Desmond Ridder QB +1600
Matt Corral QB +2000
Jahan Dotson WR +2000
Malik Willis QB +2500
George Pickens WR +3300
Sam Howell QB +5000
John Metchie WR +6000
Trey McBride TE +6600
Isaiah Spiller RB +8000
Ikem Ekwonu OT +15000
Evan Neal OT +15000
Charles Cross OT +20000

Of course, it's not just about who'll flourish the most - the trio of offensive linemen selected in the top 10 sits very far down on the list, which is pretty telling.

Opportunity is the bigger variable for winning this award. Quarterbacks have populated the top of this board for many years, but this season, Kenny Pickett has the only real chance of starting early on. While even that seems optimistic, it's still enough for him to open as the favorite.

Normally, we'd like to see how each player looks in training camp and the preseason. However, last year, more than a few bettors were thrown off when Ja'Marr Chase struggled to adjust to pro football's pro football:

It took an absurd Justin Herbert campaign to keep Justin Jefferson away from this award in 2020. With no such season likely to come from a signal-caller this year and no running back or tight end likely to have a peak impact, wide receivers have to be the target for a bet in this market.

Best bet

Jameson Williams (+1300)

There are six options at wideout priced shorter than arguably the most talented player drafted at the position. That's because the others are either entering awesome ready-made offenses and/or are already the most talented option on the team.

Williams doesn't have the quarterback that the others do, but Jared Goff is at least capable of getting the ball to weapons. Otherwise, what were we all doing drafting Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, and Brandin Cooks in fantasy football all those years?

If Amon-Ra St. Brown can catch 90+ balls on the Lions despite starting fewer than half the team's games, then Williams can do the same. In fact, St. Brown's presence underneath a secondary allows Williams to make the most out of his catches deeper down the field. A team expected to trail more often than not will have plenty of opportunities to throw the ball, and Williams will be there to catch.

Matt Russell is a betting writer for theScore. If there’s a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.

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