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The Miami Dolphins travel to face the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday Night Football. Here are the best player props for the AFC clash:
James Conner over 4 receptions
There's a good chance this one gets home early if quarterback Mason Rudolph looks Conner's way Monday. Not only have the Dolphins given up at least four receptions to opposing running backs in four of their last five games, but they've also allowed quarterbacks to complete nearly 90% of passes thrown to running backs on the season. Conner's posted at least four catches in four of six, bringing down 27 of the 28 balls thrown his way this season.
Albert Wilson over 2.5 receptions
With the Dolphins getting 14 points and likely facing plenty of passing situations, Wilson could be a great buy-low option. He's only caught eight passes in three games this season, but he faces a Steelers defense that's had serious issues covering the slot. Averaging just 4.2 yards per target and 6.2 yards per reception, Wilson should be the perfect security blanket for some easy passes from Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Mason Rudolph longest reception over 37.5 yards
Rudolph was a true gunslinger at Oklahoma State, where he threw for more 13,000 yards and averaged 9.4 yards per attempt. That's why it's strange to see the Steelers take a relatively conservative approach with their second-year quarterback. Though he's posted a 67% completion rate and seven touchdowns against two picks, Rudolph is averaging fewer than seven yards per attempt this season. We think that changes Monday night.
Rudolph gets his best matchup of the season against a Dolphins defense sitting dead last in explosive pass rate allowed. He should also have his college sidekick back in the fold, with wide receiver and deep-ball threat James Washington expected to return after missing a few weeks with an injury.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKoIodziej.
