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NFL Week 12 trend plays: Seahawks in stellar spot as road 'dogs

Ezra Shaw / Getty Images Sport / Getty

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We're back to highlight the best betting trends and angles. Last week, the Ravens, Saints, and Patriots all continued trends of favorites taking care of business.

Here are some of the notable trends to watch in Week 12.

(Trends are from Sports Database unless otherwise noted.)

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-4.5)

Thursday night means a short week for both sides, which has been a boon for the home team as of late. Home teams are 39-21-3 against the spread (65%) on Thursday night since 2016, while home favorites are an impressive 25-10-1 ATS (71.4%). Familiarity matters, too: home favorites in a divisional clash are 14-5 ATS (73.7%) over that span.

Trend play: Texans -4.5

Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5)

When oddsmakers tell you the road 'dog is better, take the points and run. Since 2017, road teams getting fewer than two points are an astounding 23-5 ATS (82.1%). Seahawks coach Pete Carroll is 5-0-1 ATS in his last six as a road 'dog, while Eagles coach Doug Pederson is 4-7-1 ATS as a home favorite since 2018.

Trend play: Seahawks +1.5

Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills (-4.5)

These teams are on different ends of the playoff spectrum, but they've played to the level of their competition in this spot. Since drafting Josh Allen in 2018, the Bills are 2-5 ATS (28.6%) as a home favorite, including 1-3 ATS this year. Conversely, the Broncos are 3-1 ATS as road 'dogs this year with an outright win over Cleveland in Week 9.

Trend play: Broncos +4.5

Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) at Los Angeles Rams

The Ravens are on a dominant run, but their success could catch up to them Monday. Only six teams in the last 30 years have won back-to-back games by at least 34 points; those teams went 1-5 ATS in their next game. Also, favorites with at least four consecutive wins by at least two touchdowns are 12-20 ATS (37.5%) in that span, including 7-15 ATS (31.8%) on the road.

Trend play: Rams +3.5

C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.

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