Best long shot Heisman bet: Tanner Morgan is worth a flier

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I wouldn't get accustomed to betting the long shots for Heisman.

Despite Joe Burrow's surge in 2019 and Lamar Jackson taking the college football world by storm in 2016, the market's realized that the award is tailored to quarterbacks. Case in point: the days of finding insane value on high-upside signal-callers is all but over.

But that doesn't mean a couple players aren't priced incorrectly. Today, we'll talk about the one quarterback down the oddsboard nobody's talking about.

Odds to win the 2020 Heisman trophy

Player Team Odds
QB Justin Fields Ohio State +400
QB Trevor Lawrence Clemson +475
QB Spencer Rattler Oklahoma +1000
QB Sam Ehlinger Texas +1200
QB Jamie Newman Georgia +1400
RB Chuba Hubbard Oklahoma State +1600
RB Travis Etienne Clemson +1800
QB Ian Book Notre Dame +2000
QB Kedon Slovis USC +2500
QB Kyle Trask Florida +2500
QB Mac Jones Alabama +2500
QB Sam Howell UNC +2500
QB Bo Nix Auburn +2800
QB Myles Brennan LSU +2800
QB Spencer Sanders Oklahoma State +3300
QB Micale Cunningham Louisville +4000
RB Najee Harris Alabama +4000
QB Sean Clifford Penn State +4000
QB Brock Purdy Iowa State +5000
CB Derek Stingley Jr. LSU +5000
LB Hamilcar Rashad Jr. Oregon State +5000
RB Journey Brown Penn State +5000
QB Tanner Morgan Minnesota +5000
RB Trey Sanders Alabama +5000
WR Tutu Atwell Louisville +6600
WR Devonta Smith Alabama +6600
QB Dillon Gabriel UCF +6600
WR Ja'Marr Chase LSU +6600
RB Jarret Patterson Buffalo +6600

Best bet

Tanner Morgan - QB, Minnesota (+5000)

Morgan may have been the best player you didn't know about last season.

He blossomed in a big way after inconsistencies in 2018, registering 3,253 passing yards and 30 touchdowns, which ranked No. 14 in the country.

Justin Fields is undoubtedly the best returning quarterback in the Big Ten, but the gap between him and Morgan isn't as wide as you'd think.

PFF graded Morgan as the second-best quarterback in the country when under pressure last season, behind only Burrow. When he had a clean pocket, Morgan posted a graded play rate that's No. 1 among returning FBS signal-callers.

If you're betting a long shot for Heisman, you need a bit of recklessness, too. Morgan will give you just that.

Not only did the 6-foot-2 quarterback average 10.2 yards per attempt last season, he was brilliant throwing the deep ball.

In all situations - pressured or not - Morgan recorded the third-lowest rate in the country of uncatchable passes on balls that traveled 10-plus yards down the field.

Morgan orchestrated Minnesota's offense to perfection last season. He produced two 1,000-yard receivers, helping the Golden Gophers average roughly a full touchdown more per game than 2018. He has one of those receivers back with Rashod Bateman, not to mention a well-rounded cast of skill players who contributed last season.

If you're in need of a flier, this is the best one on the board right now..

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

Best long shot Heisman bet: Tanner Morgan is worth a flier
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