Nets-Bucks Game 6 player props: Fade Holiday, Durant
We went 1-3 with our player props on Wednesday, giving us just our second losing day in roughly two weeks.
Jrue Holiday under 7.5 assists
Holiday is averaging 7.8 assists in the playoffs after posting 6.1 during the season. The 30-year-old has surpassed this total in each of the Bucks' last two games, but I'm banking on Brooklyn to contain him tonight.
The Nets finished the season No. 5 in the league in assists per made field goal allowed (0.573), and they surrendered the third-fewest dimes to point guards (7.7 per game).
Brook Lopez under 1.5 made threes
Lopez's volume from the perimeter has gradually increased throughout the second round. He's attempted 16 triples over the Bucks' last three contests after jacking up just four combined in the two previous games, with multiple makes in three of the five matchups in this series.
However, the under is the best play here.
The Nets surrendered the fifth-lowest shooting percentage to centers this season, and Lopez has tallied multiple makes in just three of his last 22 (!) starts.
Jeff Green under 2.5 made threes
Green stepped up for the Nets' offense in Game 5, pouring in 27 points on 8-of-11 shooting from the field with seven triples. He's an obvious regression candidate entering Thursday.
Although the Bucks closed out the season allowing the league's most 3-point makes per game, they're giving up just 11 per contest over their last three outings.
Green, meanwhile, has hit two or fewer from deep in 18 of his last 25 games.
Kevin Durant under 7.5 assists
It might be easier to recap what Durant didn't do in Game 5. The 11-time All-Star became the first player in NBA postseason history to record at least 45 points, 15 boards, and 10 assists in a contest.
But Thursday's assist total feels a tad high.
Durant had been limited to seven or fewer assists in nine straight prior to his outburst Tuesday. Tonight's total is higher due to Kyrie Irving's absence and James Harden being less than 100%. But almost half of Durant's Game 5 dimes came on made threes from Green, and there's no way the small forward can replicate the same success.
This is a solid number to go under.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. Find him on Twitter @AjKolodziej.