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MLB Wednesday player props: 3 power hitters worth backing

Jim McIsaac / Getty Images Sport / Getty

We have a jam-packed day of baseball on the docket Wednesday, with nonstop action from 1 p.m. until well past midnight.

Let's take a look at three batters in line for productive days.

Aaron Judge over 1.5 bases (+110)

Judge is almost automatic at this point. It seems like no matter what hand you throw or what pitch you target, Judge is going to get on base at a high clip. Even still, some matchups are better than others, and today's against Robbie Ray certainly classifies as favorable for the Yankee.

For one, Judge mashes lefties. He owns a ridiculous .422 wOBA and .390 ISO against left-handed pitchers on the season. Judge routinely gets on base and carries insane power.

Perhaps more importantly, Ray's go-to pitches are right in Judge's wheelhouse. Ray throws fastballs nearly 42% of the time and sliders just under 38%. Almost 80% of his pitches are one or the other, and Judge leads the league in run value created against each pitch.

Judge owns a .544 wOBA and 70.7% hard-hit rate against four-seam fastballs. He has also managed a .464 wOBA and 51.5% hard-hit rate versus sliders - still mind-numbingly good.

Yordan Alvarez over 1.5 bases (+110)

Alvarez finds himself in a mouth-watering matchup at home against Glenn Otto. The latter is in poor form on the mound, having posted a 5.10 FIP over the last month while inducing very little soft contact.

Otto has struggled for much of the season - especially against lefties. They've posted a .369 xwOBA against him on the year.

Alvarez is dangerous in any ballpark but never better than against right-handed pitchers at home. At Minute Maid Park, he has mustered up Judge-lite numbers with a .426 wOBA and .364 ISO.

He can clear this number with one good swing.

Kyle Schwarber over 1.5 bases (+125)

Sandy Alcantara is generally not a pitcher you want to target, but I'm going to make an exception to the rule with Schwarber.

Schwarber has mashed right-handed pitching in Philadelphia all season long, posting a .381 wOBA and .345 ISO.

Alcantara, while still solid, is not nearly as good against lefties as righties. That's one plus for Schwarber.

Another plus: He won't be impacted by Alcantara mixing pitches up so frequently. He's not someone who needs to sit on one particular pitch; he can hit anything. In fact, Schwarber is one of Philadelphia's leaders in run value against four-seamers, sinkers, and change-ups - Alcantara's three most common pitches.

The weather could be a factor in this one as well. It's expected to be a hot, humid day, which will help balls carry even further for power hitters such as Schwarber.

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.

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