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EPL best bets: Can Manchester City push back against Liverpool?

DAVE THOMPSON / AFP / Getty

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Matchday 7 was rewarding from a betting perspective. We collected some hefty profits, cashing on Southampton (+175) and Arsenal (+225) in away victories, and finished a respectable 2-1.

There are some great matches on tap for the weekend ahead, so let's focus on the big ones and dive right in.

Manchester United (+130) at Everton (+180), Draw (+235); Nov. 6 @ 7:30 a.m. ET

This is hardly the first time Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has been on the hot seat in his Manchester United tenure, but consecutive defeats have ramped up the pressure as they sit a distant 15th in the table ahead of a trip to Goodison Park. They haven't won there since 2018. Solskjaer still hasn't figured out the right way to line up, and his desperate attempts to satisfy everyone in midfield have hampered the Red Devils.

Everton are winless in three and dropping down the table, but a return to Goodison and the availability of James Rodriguez are a big boost. Richarlison remains out, and the Toffees lack the depth needed to absorb these absences in stride. This has the feel of a match neither side can afford to lose. While three points would be a catalyst for both to get out of this funk, leaving empty-handed would be disastrous. Both will at least be content with a point, and that's the direction this fixture seems to be headed.

Pick: Draw (+235)

Wolverhampton (+220) at Leicester City (+120), Draw (+215); Nov. 7 @ 9 a.m.

Leicester have done really well to keep churning positive results despite key injuries, but Timothy Castagne and Wilfred Ndidi remain unavailable. Brendan Rodgers still has options here as they search for a sixth successive victory, but Wolves will feel confident in ending their current winning run.

Nuno Espirito Santo's side have rediscovered their top form and are again proving difficult to break down. Wolves have conceded just once in their last four matches, claiming 10 of a possible 12 points, and are hitting their stride just in time for this trip to the King Power. They have the added benefit of extra rest, training together all week while Leicester fulfilled their Europa League obligations.

With essentially a full squad to choose from, Nuno's side will make life incredibly difficult on the hosts and extend its unbeaten run against the Foxes to four matches as they earn a precious point ahead of a very tricky run of fixtures to close out the year.

Pick: Draw (+215)

Liverpool (+235) at Manchester City (-105), Draw (+270), Nov. 7 @ 11:30 a.m.

The two title favorites meet at the Etihad on Sunday. While Liverpool have enjoyed themselves a fair bit more early into the season, they're also struggling through some difficult selection issues. Thiago and Fabinho remain out, and the return of Joel Matip means another change in partnership at the back for the Reds. That's concerning against a City attack primed to pounce on any lapses in communication.

The hosts, meanwhile, welcomed back Gabriel Jesus earlier this week and could have Sergio Aguero available again for selection. Pep Guardiola had the luxury of resting Aymeric Laporte and Ruben Dias midweek, as City still managed to earn a third successive clean sheet. Ferran Torres' excellent form means Riyad Mahrez is likely to give way to Jesus, as the competition for places will really spur City on here.

Jurgen Klopp has his own in-form striker in Diogo Jota, who could keep Roberto Firmino on the bench, but selection issues in midfield and at the back make this trip to the Etihad an untimely one. Klopp has more wins over Guardiola (nine) than any other manager in his career, but don't expect a 10th with all of the Reds' injuries and the urgency expected from City - they can't afford to lose despite it being so early in the campaign. Liverpool still aren't at their best despite sitting at the top of the table, and the window is open for the Citizens to claim a third successive win over the Reds at the Etihad. They'll secure a crucial three points to claw back into the title race.

Pick: Manchester City (-105)

(Odds source: theScore Bet)

Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for theScore. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.

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