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Squad Up Daily Fantasy Dose: High risk of goals in Avalanche country

Michael Martin / National Hockey League / Getty

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Here is a look at the Squad Up daily NHL fantasy picture for Friday, October 28:

Triple Threat

  • LW Gabriel Landeskog (53K), C Matt Duchene (70K), RW Jarome Iginla (46K), Avalanche (vs. Jets): The Avalanche are still struggling with possession numbers, even with Patrick Roy no longer directing the offense. The top trio owns a 5v5 Corsi For percentage of 51.55. They hold a narrow advantage over the Jets' top threesome centered by Mark Scheifele.
  • LW Andrew Cogliano (37K), C Ryan Kesler (55K), RW Jakob Silfverberg (51K), Ducks (vs. Blue Jackets): The Blue Jackets have one top-tier possession line, with it being the first trio of C Alexander Wennberg and Ws Brandon Saad and Nick Foligno. The Ducks are without C Ryan Getzlaf, handicapping their top line. Focus on L2.
  • LW Benoit Pouliot (36K), C Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (44K), RW Zack Kassian (27K), Oilers (at Canucks): The depth of the Oilers and Canucks will be tested Friday night, with relatively evenly matched top lines potentially coming to a draw. The Oilers' third line contains more raw skill, and their poor 42.31 CF% is actually better than that of their opponent's.

Goalie Breakdown

  • TARGET - Cam Talbot (102K), Oilers (at Canucks): After a poor start to the season in which he allowed 13 goals over the first three games, Talbot has held his past four opponents to just four goals. The Canucks have been held to two or fewer goals in four of six games and are coming off a shutout loss to the Ottawa Senators.
  • BARGAIN - Michael Hutchinson (75K), Jets (at Avalanche): Hutchinson has made three starts this season, allowing a total of 11 goals and no less than three in any one. Only eight teams are allowing more shots against per game than the Jets, leading to a likely boost in Colorado's rate of 25.2 SOG/G.
  • FADE - Henrik Lundqvist (97K), Rangers (at Hurricanes): Carolina is the third-ranked Corsi For team in the NHL, owning 53.55 percent of 5v5 possession. Lundqvist has won each of his past three starts, but he has allowed no less than two goals in any of his six starts. Carolina will play their home opener after six road games to open the season.
  • CONTRARIAN - Corey Crawford (75K), Blackhawks (at Devils): Crawford has opened the season 1-3-1, allowing three or more goals in four of the five games. New Jersey ranks 29th in goals per game, but they rank 11th in shots per game. They've done the majority of their scoring at home, totaling nine goals in three contests.

Bargain Plays

  • C Zack Smith (27K), Senators (at Flames): Smith has registered at least three shots on goal in three of his six games, including a season-high four his last time out. The Senators as a team rank third in the league with 33.0 shots for per game. Smith features on an Ottawa power play which hasn't yet scored, but they'll have chances against a Flames team leading the league in minor penalties.
  • LW Joakim Nordstrom (25K), Hurricanes (vs. Rangers): Nordstrom is a major beneficiary of a recent line juggling for the Hurricanes, as he has moved up to the second line at 5v5 with C Jordan Staal and RW Sebastian Aho. He doesn't yet feature on a power-play unit, but he still averages 14:47 in ice time.
  • RW Jesse Puljujarvi (25K), Oilers (at Canucks): Playing mostly on the second line at 5v5 and on the second power-play unit, Puljujarvi has yet to top 13 minutes in ice time in a single game. He has still managed to tally seven shots on goal over his past two games, with one assist.

Top Fades

  • C Connor McDavid (81K), Oilers (at Canucks): The Canucks allow just 25.2 shots per game while at home, making this one of few times to consider leaving the NHL's scoring leader alone. His salary is relatively modest, but he'll still need multiple points or a nearly 10 SOG in order to return adequate value. The Oilers have enough offensive depth to allow for salary savings.
  • LW Brandon Saad (58K), Blue Jackets (at Ducks): Saad has points in back-to-back games for the first time this season, but he has a total of just two shots. Ducks G John Gibson will be the best the Blue Jackets have faced so far this season, and the top line will go head-to-head with the Ducks' line of RW Corey Perry.
  • RW Blake Wheeler (66K), Jets (at Avalanche): Wheeler's line will match up directly with the top line from Colorado, the only one worth avoiding. Wheeler has just one assist in his past four games, while his ice time has been dwindling each time out.

Contrarian Options

  • C Jonathan Toews (51K), Blackhawks (at Devils): Toews has zero goals and two assists through his first seven games, as he gets off to yet another slow offensive start. His time hasn't varied, as he has topped 23 minutes in each of his past three games. The Devils are starting backup G Keith Kinkaid Friday, offering a much easier matchup than Cory Schneider.
  • LW Mike Hoffman (50K), Senators (at Flames): Hoffman has fallen into a tie for 20th in shots on goal for the season, and he still remains without a goal. Calgary allows over 29 SOG per game, and they rank 26th in the league with a 3.63 goals allowed per game.
  • RW Nikolaj Ehlers (44K), Jets (at Avalanche): Ehlers' ice time dropped to a season-low 13:52 in Winnipeg's most recent game, but he still managed to tally his second assist of the season, despite not registering a shot on goal for the second time this year. He should be more involved in the offense in a high-pace game in Colorado.

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