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Squad Up Daily NHL Fantasy Dose: Carter next up to enjoy downhill Colorado ice

Kirby Lee / USA TODAY Sports

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Here is a look at the Squad Up daily NHL fantasy picture for Tuesday, Feb. 21 (all advanced statistics courtesy of Corsica.Hockey and apply to 5v5 situations):

Dynamic Duos

  • LW Tanner Pearson (55K) & C Jeff Carter (63K), Kings (at Avalanche): The Kings rather lackluster offense in terms of goal scoring boasts the league's best Corsi For rating while on the road. The second line of Pearson, Carter and RW Dustin Brown have a rating of 55.79 in all venues. Colorado is markedly improved when at home, but they're still expected to allow 2.33 goals per 60 minutes.
  • LW Taylor Hall (76K) & RW Kyle Palmieri (72K), Devils (vs. Senators): The visiting Senators lost their top three wingers over the weekend in LW Mike Hoffman and RWs Bobby Ryan and Mark Stone. The Devils have the advantages of home ice and final change, allowing them to deploy their top scoring line in the most lopsided mismatches up front. With C Travis Zajac they're expected to score 3.38 goals per 60 minutes.
  • C Tyler Johnson (60K) & RW Nikita Kucherov (68K), Lightning (vs. Oilers): The Lightning's current top line has an xGF60 of 2.53, as they rack up 10.85 scoring chances per 60 minutes, the highest of any active trio on the team. Edmonton allows 8.62 scoring chances per 60 when on the road, ranking 21st.

Goalie Breakdown

  • TARGET - Cory Schneider (100K), Devils (vs. Senators): Schneider will face the depleted Senators' offense which will heavily feature two recent AHL call-ups. Schneider has recorded 30-plus saves in three of his past four games. He likely won't face an equally high shot total Tuesday, but he has a reasonable chance for the shutout without two of Ottawa's top three scorers.
  • BARGAIN - Peter Budaj (75K), Kings (at Avalanche): Budaj is mired in his worst stretch of the season in which he allowed three or more goals in five of his past six games. He rebounded Sunday, against the Anaheim Ducks, allowing just one goal on 29 shots. The Avalanche have the lowest expected goal rate in the league, at 2.01 goals for per 60 minutes.
  • FADE - Connor Hellebuyck (92K), Jets (at Maple Leafs): Hellebuyck stopped 51 of 54 shots in his past two starts, but he faces a Maple Leafs team with an xGF60 of 3.32 on home ice. Toronto scored at least three goals in three of its past four games.
  • CONTRARIAN - Craig Anderson (75K), Senators (at Devils): Anderson has a lower-than-normal win probability as the Senators ice a lineup lacking in offensive potential. He's capable of stealing games for his team, and he could very well do so against a Devils with an xGF60 of just 2.22.

Bargain Plays

  • C Jake Guentzel (25K), Penguins (at Hurricanes): Guentzel remains on the right side of C Sidney Crosby at even strength. He has two goals and three assists in February, going no more than two consecutive games without a point. He had multiple SOG in all but one of his past seven games, playing no less than 14:35. He's very safe and has multi-point potential.
  • D Jared Spurgeon (29K), Wild (vs. Blackhawks): Another regular feature in this section of the dose, Spurgeon remains much to close to the minimum salary. Along with his consistent blocked shots and hits, he plays on the Wild's second power-play unit, where he'll face the league's third-worst penalty kill.
  • RW Connor Brown (26K), Maple Leafs (vs. Jets): Though he's no longer beside C Auston Matthews, Brown has remained productive alongside C Tyler Bozak and LW James van Riemsdyk. He scored twice his last time out, and he has tallied at least two SOG in all but one of his past six games. He has topped 18 minutes of ice time in each of his past three.

Top Fades

  • D Kris Letang (48K), Penguins (at Hurricanes): Letang has relied on the power play for 13 of his 33 points this season. The opposing Hurricanes have the league's best penalty-kill percentage, and they've been shorthanded a league-low 142 times. His chances of a multi-point game are low.
  • C Derick Brassard (59K), Senators (at Devils): Brassard has spent almost the entirety of his 5v5 TOI alongside Stone this season. With Stone, Hoffman and Ryan all sidelined, he'll have grossly inferior linemates for Tuesday's game and beyond. He may shoot more, but he requires points at this salary.
  • LW Filip Forsberg (58K), Predators (vs. Flames): Forsberg's time on ice has been waning of late, reaching a low of 16:10 in Sunday's 4-3 win. He did tally an assist in the game, but he has just one goal and three assists in February. He's a risky play, even at home, until his TOI increases.

Contrarian Options

  • LW Zach Parise (62K), Wild (vs. Blackhawks): Parise has gone without a point in three consecutive games, but he has still amassed nine SOG. Like Spurgeon, he'll benefit from the Blackhawks' horrible penalty kill as four of his 13 goals this season have come via the man advantage.
  • D Erik Karlsson (57K), Senators (at Devils): If there is a beneficiary of the Senators' rash of injuries, it's Karlsson. His SOG counts have dwindled dramatically, but without three top-six forwards, the defenseman will need to shoulder more of an offensive load like he has in years past. He's the one Senators skater worth owning.
  • C William Nylander (57K), Maple Leafs (vs. Jets): Nylander is back on Matthews' right wing, and he offers nearly 20K in salary relief. He relies more heavily on assists, whereas Matthews is much more likely to score, but he'll have an easier time returning value while the cap space can be spent elsewhere.

(Photo courtesy Action Images)

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