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Patrick Eaves' fantasy outlook difficult to project in move to Anaheim

Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports

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Here are the fantasy repercussions following the Dallas Stars trading RW Patrick Eaves to Anaheim (all advanced statistics courtesy of Corsica.Hockey and apply to 5v5 situations):

Dallas' free-flowing offense and Eaves' spot alongside LW Jamie Benn have obviously helped buoy his surprising production. With 21 goals - 11 of which have come with the man-advantage - and 37 total points, Eaves has provided real fantasy value throughout the season.

Though a move to Anaheim jeopardizes this, it might not be as dramatic as some fantasy owners think.

Assuming Eaves joins the first or second line, he'll likely be centered by either Ryan Kesler or Ryan Getzlaf, according to Left Wing Lock. In either position, he should maintain his 16 minutes per night and see legitimate offensive opportunity.

Anaheim's power play actually ranks four spots ahead of Dallas's at 14th, and the Ducks have potted only six fewer goals on the season compared to the Stars. The two teams also rank similarly in their CorsiFor percentage.

Dallas does have the edge in xGF60 (expected goals for per 60) and xSCF60 (expected scoring chances for per 60), however. It's the departure from this offensive environment that could lead to a slight decline.

Going forward, Eaves owners should stand pat with their productive winger. He has maintained a stellar 13.9 shooting percentage over the past three years, indicating that individual play has been a major part of his success. Anaheim's superior defense should also improve his current minus-10 rating.

If you're more pessimistic, floating out trade offers or gauging Eaves' market value isn't a terrible idea. For those using him as a lifeline in power-play goals, this line of thinking would be more apparent.

Daily fantasy and power play outlook

Eaves' 11 power-play goals rank him fourth in the league, behind only Brayden Schenn, Alex Ovechkin, and Wayne Simmonds. Unfortunately, that upside, which is a major plus in daily fantasy, could be in jeopardy out west.

With Dallas, Eaves was locked into a unit featuring Benn, Tyler Seguin, and Patrick Sharp. There are few combinations more dangerous than that. With Anaheim, Eaves could land on the secondary unit, as the Ducks breaking up their top grouping of Kesler, Getzlaf, and Corey Perry seems unlikely.

Daily players should monitor Eaves' power-play situation going forward. If he indeed falls to the second unit, he'll become a much riskier daily option.

(Photos Courtesy: Action Images)

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