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Bold predictions revisited: How did we do in 2016?

Troy Taormina / USA TODAY Sports

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To answer the question in article's head line: not good. Terrible actually. As someone who takes pride in accurate predictions, I'm ashamed of myself.

However, these predictions were intended to be extremely bold. I didn't expect to nail every single one. Yet, without further ado...

1. Edwin Encarnacion will lead the majors in HR and RBIs

This one actually went pretty well. Encarnacion didn't lead the majors in homers and RBIs, but he finished tied for second and tied for third in RBIs and home runs, respectively. His 42 home runs tied a career high, and his 127 RBIs were also a career best. I'm just going to pat myself on the back for this one, because it goes south from here. Prediction grade: A-

2. Kris Medlen will have a sub-3.00 ERA

Medlen was so dominant from 2012-2013. He returned from Tommy John surgery in 2014 to be solid in 2015, so I assumed he would shine at full health in a pitchers park and a great defense behind him. This wasn't the case at all. Medlen got hurt again, made only six starts, and got absolutely rocked in those six appearances. Prediction grade: F

3. Gerardo Parra will be a top-10 fantasy OF

Parra hit .291 with 14 homers and 14 steals in 2015. So of course, I assumed a move to Colorado's hitter friendly Coors Field would drastically increase his numbers. Well, it didn't. In fact, Parra was absolutely awful, hitting just .253 with seven homers. Prediction grade: F

4. Jose Reyes will be the highest-scoring fantasy SS

A third consecutive yikes. This prediction was assuming Reyes wouldn't miss time for his domestic violence incident and that Coors Field would hide the fact that he was an aging talent. Well, he didn't play a single game for the Rockies in 2016 and was sub-par upon re-joining the Mets. Prediction grade: F

5. Carlos Gomez will join the 30-30 club

Oh boy. Gomez was so bad in 2016 that Houston DFA'd him. He did, however, post a .905 OPS in 33 games with Texas, but still came nowhere close to the 30-30 club, hitting 13 total homers and stealing 18 bases. Prediction grade: F

6. Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg will rack up a combined 550 strikeouts

This prediction came up short, but it had a chance. Scherzer did his part, striking out a league-leading 284 batters. Strasburg finished with just 183 because he missed 10 starts due to injury. Had he stayed healthy and started 34 games, he would have been on pace for 259 Ks. That would have resulted in just seven Ks short of my bold prediction. Prediction grade: B

7. Chris Colabello will record 100 RBIs

Just when you thought things were getting better, another yikes. Colabello hit .321 in 2015, but was just 2-for-29 before testing positive for PEDs, effectively ending his season at the MLB level. Prediction grade: F

8. Paul Goldschmidt will be a fantasy bust

My guess was that the lack of protection in Arizona's lineup would result in Goldschmidt's HR and his RBI totals taking a hit. They did. He hit nine fewer homers and drove in 15 fewer runs. His batting average also dipped from .321 to .297. He wasn't a total bust, but he only finished as the 15th ranked player despite being taken in the top 3. Prediction grade: C

9. Matt Kemp will be drop-worthy

Kemp was not drop-worthy. His 35 home runs and 108 RBIs were both the second-best marks of his career. He especially excelled upon being dealt to Atlanta. I'm sorry I doubted you, Matt Kemp. Prediction grade: F

10. Joe Mauer will bounce back

Mauer did not bounce back. His .261 average was actually the worst of his career. A high line drive rate and a low BABIP would indicate positive regression is looming, so maybe 2017 will be his bounce back year. Prediction grade: F

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