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NFL Week 6 player prop bets: All signs point to Keenan Allen

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The player prop market is a hot one for bettors. While standard spread and total bets account for an entire game, individual props focus on specific matchups.

Here are five bets to consider for Week 6:

Keenan Allen over 81.5 receiving yards

Back in Week 4, I thought Bengals wide receiver Tyler Boyd had a great matchup against the Steelers. Quarterbacks were 35-for-40 throwing to slot receivers against Pittsburgh's defense, and Boyd was the primary slot guy. He unfortunately wound up with just three catches for 33 yards. The Steelers' defense relapsed last weekend against the Ravens, allowing Willie Snead - who spends 75% of his snaps in the slot - to be Baltimore's leading receiver. This weekend, Allen's props should be a slam dunk when the Steelers travel to L.A. for Sunday Night Football.

Though he's only been in the slot for 43.7% of his snaps, he's accumulating 23.7% of the Chargers' targets and is No. 1 in hog rate. He should go off after posting just 18 yards on four catches last week against the Broncos.

Sam Darnold over 21.5 completions

Darnold will likely find himself in plenty of passing situations Sunday against the Cowboys, as all Jets quarterbacks have this season.

Back in the opener, Darnold completed 28 passes on 41 attempts. The only problem was that he posted an average of just 4.27 air yards per throw - so much for head coach Adam Gase's savvy offensive ways.

If that's how the game plan's going to go again, take the over on Darnold's completions. The Jets' conservative approach this season has been to take the underneath routes. Expect that early, with the offense having to throw the ball down the field when it's trailing. Either way, Darnold should be airing it out plenty.

Leonard Fournette over 3.5 receptions

This is another prop that just feels like stealing. Fournette has already seen 30 targets in the Jaguars' offense, which is third on the team. He faces a Saints defense that's allowed at least four catches to running backs in each game this season. Overall, New Orleans has allowed 26 receptions on 31 attempts to rushers in 2019.

Zach Ertz over 5.5 receptions

The Vikings' defense has been terrific this season, but it's struggled in one specific aspect heading into Week 6: covering tight ends. Though Minnesota hasn't allowed a touchdown to that position yet this season, the team's allowing a 74% completion rate to opposing tight ends. Ertz has seen at least seven targets in every game in 2019 and should see plenty of opportunities Sunday.

Ezekiel Elliott over 24.5 receiving yards

After totaling a career high in receiving yards last year, Elliott's off to a slow start through five games. He's been targeted just 17 times and has registered only 92 yards through the air. But against the Jets, Elliott should be just fine - New York's defense has allowed an average of 51.8 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs this season.

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKoIodziej.

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