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Every week, we're diving into which teams are too low or high in the betting markets ahead of the weekend.
Here's what we're seeing leading up to Week 7:
Week 7: +1 vs. Ball State
Eastern Michigan's night-and-day performances as a favorite and an underdog are truly amazing. This is the same team that went on the road to Illinois in Week 3 as a touchdown-sized 'dog and won; the same team that nearly lost to Central Connecticut as a 32.5-point favorite the following week; the same team that was bullied by Central Michigan as a 4.5-point favorite just last Saturday. The Eagles aren't trending in the ideal direction, but you might want a piece of them in Week 7 against Ball State: The program is currently on a 19-4-2 run against the spread when getting points.
Week 7: -20.5 vs. Colorado
Oregon looked like it struggled at home against stingy Cal last weekend, but the 17-7 win was pretty deceiving. Three turnovers inside Cal territory, a missed field goal, and another turnover on downs prevented the Ducks from making it an uglier affair. Oregon's offense should have no problem moving the ball against a Colorado defense allowing 6.6 yards per play, but perhaps the bigger storyline is the Ducks' defense: Oregon's allowed a grand total of 22 points over its last four games.
Week 7: +3 vs. UL Monroe
Texas State has yet to cover a game against an FBS opponent this season, but the program's come close. The Bobcats outplayed Wyoming in a nine-point loss in Week 2 and pushed in a three-point win over Georgia State in Week 5. This Saturday, Texas State is catching three points to a UL Monroe team that hasn't covered a spread as a favorite in its last eight tries.
Week 7: +7.5 vs. Cincinnati
Days after their star quarterback and one of their top receivers both opted to sit out the rest of the year, the Cougars naturally went on the road and beat up on North Texas as seven-point 'dogs. Because that makes a lot of sense.
One would think that's the type of momentum swing a program needs, but we're not buying Houston in Week 7 against Cincinnati. The Bearcats' defense is too stingy to let the Cougars throw the ball all over the yard, and Cincinnati's coming off a momentum shift of its own after beating UCF last Friday.
Week 7: -4 at Purdue
We'll take every opportunity to sell Maryland whenever its stock is even a tad high. The Terrapins just laid a beating on Rutgers and now travel to play a banged-up Purdue team coming off a 35-7 loss at Penn State, but are we really implying Maryland is a touchdown favorite on a neutral field? Even with the Boilermakers starting a backup quarterback, this is a tough price at which to buy the Terps.
Week 7: +10 at Baylor
Texas Tech caught Oklahoma State in a pretty good spot last weekend; after a prime-time game at Texas and a crucial home tilt under the lights against Kansas State, the Cowboys slipped up in a matinee in Lubbock. Coming off an emotional win and traveling to play a red-hot Baylor team, Texas Tech is in a fade spot here.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.