7 betting trends to trust in Week 5

Clemson putting up points as a double-digit road favorite? Check.

Eastern Michigan as a road underdog? Also check.

Those were just a few angles we dug into last weekend. Again, trends more so tell us what has happened rather than what will. It might take out the predictive aspect, but it could line up with an edge you might already have.

Here are some angles to keep in mind with Week 5 on deck:

Bet the Under on totals at 49.5 or less after a team scores 50+ points

Situation: Michigan -14 at Northwestern; O/U 48

This trend has occurred more than 62 percent of the time since 2005.

Michigan's stagnant offense from a season ago was in full force in its opener against Notre Dame. Three weeks later, the Wolverines boast a top-25 scoring offense after putting up an average of 50 points the last three games. After hanging a season-high 56 on Nebraska in Week 4, Michigan heads to Northwestern, which is 26-9-2 to the under at home in the last five-plus seasons under head coach Pat Fitzgerald.

The Over is 7-1 when Georgia Tech is a favorite of more than 21 points under Paul Johnson

Situation: Georgia Tech -28.5 vs. Bowling Green; O/U 65.5

Georgia Tech's offense - a triple-option scheme that takes its time and wants to limit opponent possessions - isn't necessarily tailored to pull away from teams, unless the opponent is so inferior that it can rack up yards and points in bunches. However, the Yellow Jackets have flown over the total seven of eight times in this situation since Paul Johnson took the job in 2008.

Georgia Tech will likely have its way Saturday against a Bowling Green defense that's allowed an average of 333.5 yards (!) per game on the ground this season. The Falcons are on a 10-1 streak on the over, including a perfect 5-0 O/U mark over their last five road games.

Pitt is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games under Pat Narduzzi

Situation: Pitt +16.5 at Central Florida

Pitt hasn't yet found its identity this season. The Panthers were blasted at home by Penn State, beat Georgia Tech at home as short 'dogs, then handed North Carolina its first win of the season as short road favorites.

UCF has showed no signs of slowing down post-Scott Frost. Central Florida's top scoring offense from a year ago is rolling right along with an average of 50 points per game in 2018. The Knights might have another nice matchup on their hands against a Pitt defense that surrendered 38 points to the Tar Heels.

Kentucky is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games as a favorite under Mark Stoops

Situation: Kentucky -1.5 vs. South Carolina

I already liked South Carolina in this spot and will likely include them in my plays on Saturday, but a nugget like this offers further evidence of why I dislike the Wildcats in this situation.

Kentucky is one of the most intriguing teams in the country. The Wildcats finally snapped their winless skid against the Florida Gators in Week 2, then upped the ante by beating ranked Mississippi State at home as 10-point underdogs last Saturday. How the Wildcats play now that they're expected to win - both by the fan base and the oddsmakers - piques my interest.

It's much easier to play when there's little pressure. Coming off another signature win, the stakes get a bit higher for Kentucky against a vastly-improved South Carolina team that's covered the last five on the road.

BYU's last nine opponents are 9-0 on the Team Total Under

Situation: BYU +17.5 at Washington; O/U 45.5.

This one hasn't been released, but barring any serious movement on the line and/or total, one would figure Washington's team total to open up in the 31-31.5 range. The Cougars haven't let an opponent score more than 30 points since Week 9 of the 2017 season, riding a perfect 9-0 streak on the team total under since. That includes limiting Arizona to 23 points in Week 1 and Wisconsin to 21 in Week 3.

Washington is averaging 21.3 points per game against FBS opponents this season.

Michigan State is 0-5 ATS its last five games when laying more than 21 points

Situation: Michigan State -28.5 vs. Central Michigan

Another small sample here, but in the recent past, Mark Dantonio hasn't pulled away from teams as a large favorite. That includes a Week 1 scare against Utah State, when the Spartans needed a late touchdown to get past the Aggies, 38-31, as a 23.5-point chalk.

The Chippewas represent a sandwich spot between a pair of conference games for the Spartans.

Penn State is 11-2 to the Team Total Over in its last 13 conference home games.

Situation: Ohio State -3.5 at Penn State; O/U 70

Penn State will likely see its team total for this one under five touchdowns. No problem, as its hit 35 or more in seven of its last nine home games against Big Ten foes.

Ohio State will be a different animal, though its vaunted front seven becomes a lot less scary with Nick Bosa out of the fold due to injury.

The Nittany Lions' offense continues to hum after a breakout 2017 season, heading into Week 5 with the country's top scoring unit at 55.5 points per game.