What the odds say: How will each U.S. Ryder Cup team member fare in Rome?
The United States Ryder Cup team was finalized on Tuesday after captain Zach Johnson made his six selections, rounding out the 12-man team heading to Rome in late September.
Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka, Rickie Fowler, Collin Morikawa, Sam Burns, and Justin Thomas were added to a stacked American squad that already rostered Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Max Homa, Wyndham Clark, and Brian Harman.
This group looks to become the first U.S. team to win the Ryder Cup on European soil since 1993. The Europeans have dominated the event in recent memory with a 9-4 record.
|Ryder Cup winner
Despite their poor history in Europe, the Americans are still -130 favorites to win the Ryder Cup. But this is their shortest price leading up to the event. Strong play from European team members of late combined with some Americans struggling to find form plummeted the U.S. side's odds from -190 to its current standing.
Let's take a look at how oddsmakers believe each American will do in Rome.
|To Lead USA In Points
Odds via theScore Bet
Scheffler is the narrow favorite to lead Team USA in points. The world No. 1 lapped everyone on the PGA TOUR in strokes gained: tee-to-green this season but ranked 150th in strokes gained: putting, which held him out of the winner's circle on a number of occasions.
This will be Scheffler's second Ryder Cup after he was a captain's pick for the USA's dominant win at Whistling Straits in 2021. He went 2-0-1 with an impressive Sunday singles victory over Jon Rahm.
The next seven golfers on the oddsboard sit between +700 and +900. The key to this betting market is trying to identify which golfers are going to play the most sessions. Dustin Johnson was the only American to play five sessions in 2021. He also played all five in 2018, as did Spieth and Thomas.
Schauffele and Cantlay will likely be paired together for the fourth straight team event and could easily play every session. They own a combined 6-3 record in one Ryder Cup and two Presidents Cups and have only been split up once in those three events.
You would also think Spieth and Thomas have a good chance at playing all five sessions, but Thomas' form has been very poor. If he doesn't turn in at least one solid result in the next coming weeks on the PGA TOUR, captain Johnson will probably hesitate to roll out his most-critiqued selection that often.
Homa is an interesting candidate to lead the U.S. in points. He balled out in his Presidents Cup debut last year with a 4-0-0 record and could offer a similar performance in Rome. There's a chance no American plays all five sessions and if Homa - who makes a perfect Ryder Cup team member due to his all-around game - can get four sessions under his belt, that may be all he needs to lead the team.
Finally, Burns at +1600 is worth a look. There's a strong feeling in the golf world that Scheffler made a push for his friend to get the 12th and final spot that could have been given to a number of different golfers.
If that's the case, Burns and Scheffler will likely be paired together. Any time you're playing alongside the world's No. 1 golfer, you have a great chance at earning a point. But the duo had little success when they were paired together for three out of four sessions at the 2022 Presidents Cup, finishing with a 0-2-1 record.
|Top Captain's Pick Points Scorer
There are two other markets to bet on in American points scoring, starting with the top point-scorer of the captain's picks.
Morikawa is the safest bet of the bunch. He's shown the best recent form and should play a lot due to his versatility when it comes to finding a partner. Morikawa went 3-0 with Johnson in 2021 and 1-1 with Cameron Young at last year's Presidents Cup. Captains seem to partner him with a more powerful player, which means a Morikawa-Koepka pairing is a real possibility.
Once again, Burns, valued at +650, stands out because he could be with Scheffler for multiple rounds.
|Top Rookie Points Scorer
It's hard to see a scenario where Homa doesn't play the most sessions out of this group. He's the deserving favorite to lead the rookies in scoring.
Clark and Harman represent the USA for the first time in either a Ryder Cup or Presidents Cup. At best, they will each play two team sessions, putting them in a tough spot to top Homa's totals.
The Europeans will finalize their roster following this week's Omega Masters on the DP World Tour. Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Viktor Hovland, and Tyrrell Hatton have already secured their spots on the team with two more automatic bids up for grabs.
Captain Luke Donald will make his six captain's picks on Sept. 4.