Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas will host 122 players for the Charles Schwab Challenge. Though the tournament's name seems to change on a yearly basis, Colonial remains a staple, hosting the event every year since 1946.
The course is 7,209 yards and playing as a par 70. It requires accuracy more than distance off the tee, placing an emphasis on golfers' approach games with smaller-than-average greens.
One of the most comparable courses to Colonial is TPC Deere Run, host of the John Deere Classic. Since 1992, six players, including Jordan Spieth, Zach Johnson, and Steve Stricker, have won both tournaments.
Targeting accurate-type players who are striking the ball well and have history at Colonial or TPC Deere Run (or both), here are the best bets to make this week:
Francesco Molinari (18-1)
Molinari's run since his collapse at the Masters doesn't look great, but it's better than it appears. At the RBC Heritage, where he missed the cut, he lost 4.4 strokes putting and was likely still drained from a forgettable Sunday at Augusta. He gained 6.9 strokes tee to green last week at the PGA Championship but gave them back with another poor putting performance.
With little reason to believe his ball-striking will somehow disappear at Colonial, the 36-year-old Italian is strong value play even at his short number. He finished as a runner-up in at last season's John Deere Classic during his hot stretch of golf and is in similar form now. Though he's never played in Fort Worth before, Molinari is worth an investment.
Bryson DeChambeau (25-1)
DeChambeau is a proven PGA Tour winner; right away, his odds seem too high. His recent play clearly isn't up to his standards, which is why he's not one of the favorites, but he's won a tournament coming off a finish of T-42 or worse twice in his career.
His early exit from the PGA Championship shouldn't be a worry; DeChambeau called Bethpage Black's length "a mess-up," so his missed cut and weekend off could actually prove beneficial in Fort Worth, both physically and mentally. He won the John Deere Classic in 2017 so Colonial, a course that rewards precision, is right in his wheelhouse.
Joel Dahmen (60-1)
It's a matter of when, not if, Dahmen will get his first win on the PGA Tour. He's coming off an okay T-71 showing at the PGA Championship, where he ranked eighth in the field in strokes gained: approach. The week prior, he was the runner-up at Quail Hollow.
Dahmen is one of the fastest starters on Tour - he's held the first-round lead four times since 2014 - and ranks 17th in first-round scoring average for 2019. He was a runner-up at the John Deere Classic last year; if he can string together four rounds at Colonial, this could be his big break.
Jimmy Walker (90-1)
Walker is starting to play much better and the results show as much. He gained strokes across the board last week en route to a T-23 finish at Bethpage Black - a course that would typically penalize his struggles with the driver - and has now made six of his last seven cuts.
Since 2009, he's made all five cuts in his trips to Fort Worth, where his best result is a T-10 in 2014. If his ball-striking continues to trend in the right direction, 90-1 is a juicy number for a player with six PGA Tour wins.
Boo Weekley (22-1)
Boo Weekley is back, and golf is better for it. The 45-year-old, who took nearly two years off after right elbow surgery and a bout with cancer, is playing solidly. In his last PGA Tour start, he gained 8.4 strokes tee to green en route to a T-25 finish at the RBC Heritage, a tournament he's won twice in his career. Colonial is also a venue he's won at before, taking the 2013 contest. Ties pay full inside the top 10, making 22-1 a worthwhile bet.
Paul Casey over Tony Finau (-120)
Casey suits Colonial Country Club better than Finau and is also playing far better. Finau's only top-10 finish this season is a T-5 at the Masters, where he could bomb it off the tee without any worry. Casey, meanwhile, ranked fifth at the PGA Championship in strokes gained: tee to green and seems primed for another top-10 result. It wouldn't be shocking if this bet gets cashed Friday night as Finau heads home early.
Jon Rahm over Justin Rose (-110)
Rahm is a slight underdog in this head-to-head, going up against the defending champion in Rose. Though the course doesn't require length off the tee, Rahm has used a bomb-and-gouge approach at Colonial twice for a runner-up and a T-5 result. He's figured out this course in only two appearances and should be raring to go after missing the cut at Bethpage Black. Rose, on the other hand, will have defending-champion duties to tend to after playing four grueling rounds at the PGA Championship.
Odds courtesy: Bodog