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Here is a look at the Squad Up daily NHL fantasy picture for Tuesday, March 28 (all advanced statistics courtesy of Corsica.Hockey and apply to 5v5 situations):
Dynamic Duos
- LW Sven Baertschi (45K) & C Bo Horvat (59K), Canucks (vs. Ducks): While the Ducks are on a four-game winning streak during which they've scored 14 goals, they rank 27th in road Corsi For percentage since Feb. 28 at 43.69 percent. Baertschi, Horvat and RW Brock Boeser (31K) played 21.13 percent of the 5v5 minutes last time out. Horvat and Baertschi have combined for 17 points in March.
- LW Tanner Pearson (53K) & C Tyler Toffoli (48K), Kings (at Oilers): The Oilers have scored seven goals in three of their past seven games, yet they still have a league-worst CF% of just 46.12 over their past nine home games. They're expected to score 3.24 goals per 60 minutes, but they also give up more than 10 scoring chances per 60. The Kings' top line has a CF rating of 63.41 percent.
- LW Jeff Skinner (50K) & RW Lee Stempniak (40K), Hurricanes (vs. Red Wings): Recommended ahead of Monday's 4-3 overtime loss to the Red Wings, Skinner scored the game's first goal with Stempniak dishing the assist. Detroit is playing the third of three consecutive games, which included an extra two minutes of play Monday. Skinner has an absurd eight goals over his past six games.
(Photo courtesy Action Images)
Goalie Breakdown
- TARGET - Craig Anderson (87K), Senators (at Flyers): The Flyers have averaged 30.02 shots on goal per 60 minutes but just 2.45 expected goals for since Feb. 28. Anderson is in his worst four-game stretch since his first four starts of the season, but he has twice made more than 30 saves. Ottawa allows a lot of low-quality shots, helping Anderson pad his points total.
- BARGAIN - Braden Holtby (75K), Capitals (at Wild): The Wild are averaging just 2.15 expected goals for per 60 minutes at home since Feb. 28. They muster just 6.87 scoring chances per 60 minutes and in reality have scored only nine goals in their past five home games. Holtby has stopped 57 of 59 shots faced in his past two starts.
- FADE - Carey Price (100K), Canadiens (vs. Stars): The disappointing Stars have averaged just 28.74 SOG per 60 minutes over the past month, but they've still been able to rack up 8.67 scoring chances. They own the superior splits in both scoring chance percentage and expected goals percentage. Montreal has totaled four goals in its last three games not against the Ottawa Senators.
- CONTRARIAN - Ryan Miller (104K), Canucks (vs. Ducks): As mentioned above, the Ducks have struggled mightily on the road since February. They're just 15-15-7 on the road for the season, compared to a sparkling 26-8-4 record on home ice. Miller owns a .919 save percentage at home for the season, and he has made at least 30 saves in each of his past six starts.
(Photo courtesy Action Images)
Bargain Plays
- C Andreas Athanasiou (29K), Red Wings (at Hurricanes): Athanasiou has scored in each of his past two games, adding one assist on five SOG. He played roughly 14:30 in each outing. His line, which includes LW Justin Abdelkader and C Dylan Larkin, played 19.47 percent of the 5v5 minutes in Monday's win. Detroit should balance the lines even more for its third game in as many nights.
- LW Phillip Danault (26K), Canadiens (vs. Stars): Danault has returned to his pass-first role on the Canadiens' top line where he centers LW Max Pacioretty and RW Alexander Radulov. The Stars' defense has improved of late, but they still allow 8.30 scoring chances on just 26.91 SOG against per 60 minutes.
- RW Matt Read (34K), Flyers (vs. Senators): Read has fallen a long way since his 47-point rookie season. He has just 10 goals and 19 points through 61 games this season. He was bumped up to the top line with C Claude Giroux and RW Jakub Voracek in his most recent game, notching an assist and two SOG in 14:38 of playing time.
(Photo courtesy: Action Images)
Top Fades
- D Roman Josi (46K), Predators (at Bruins): The only real fault on Josi is his salary relative to top-pairing D P.K. Subban. Josi has had to rely much more heavily on the offensive part of his game this season, while Subban has been a more consistent source of both hits and blocked shots. Opt for Subban as the safer choice when their ceilings are nearly identical.
- RW Cam Atkinson (56K), Blue Jackets (vs. Sabres): Atkinson has gone without a point in four consecutive games, totaling just 13 SOG. He played more than 17 minutes in just one of those games, as his season average of 18:09 continues to fall. The Sabres are on the second half of a back-to-back, but G Robin Lehner has stopped 62 of the last 64 shots he faced.
- LW Jamie Benn (67K), Stars (at Canadiens): The Stars' balanced lines have resulted in Benn playing with C Cody Eakin and RW Ales Hemsky. The line was the fourth-most frequently deployed in Dallas' last game, playing just 18.95 percent of the 5v5 minutes.
(Photo courtesy: Getty Images)
Contrarian Options
- C Brayden Schenn (51K), Flyers (vs. Senators): Schenn has been separated from all three of Giroux, Voracek and RW Wayne Simmonds at 5v5. His line with LW Dale Weise and C Sean Couturier was the most commonly used by the Flyers in their most recent game. He has gone without a point in four straight games, but he topped 18 minutes in each of his past two games.
- LW Nick Foligno (46K), Blue Jackets (vs. Sabres): Foligno had multiple SOG and hits in all but one of his past five games while averaging more than 15 minutes of ice time. He had just one assist and no goals. He comes at a much more reasonable salary than Atkinson against a tired opponent.
- D Torey Krug (42K), Predators (at Bruins): Krug has upped his blocked shots and hits totals of late, while contributing a modest one goal and two assists in his past five games. He registered seven SOG in his most recent home game. He had multiple SOG in all but one of his past five, and he topped 21 minutes of TOI in each of his past four. The Predators play their second game in as many nights.