CFB Week 7 best bets: Duke, NC State will light up the scoreboard
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It's a pivotal week for our bankrolls, as we look to get above the .500 mark in best bets.
Here's what stands out for Week 7.
Pitt @ Miami (-13.5, 48), 12 p.m. ET
There's no way I'd feel comfortable laying the chalk with Miami after missing some key numbers to play. The total's dropped, too, but this is one that's still worth a wager.
Pitt's always been an "under" team with head coach Pat Narduzzi at the helm. The Panthers have unconventionally played back-to-back shootouts, but expect another low-scoring game on Saturday. Quarterback Kenny Pickett isn't 100%, the running game is averaging an awful 3.1 yards per carry, and the defense is still playing at a high level despite getting off track the last two weeks.
The Panthers are 11-1 to the under in their last 12 as road underdogs. Let's make it 12 of 13.
Play: Under 48
Duke @ North Carolina State (-4.5, 60), 6:30 p.m.
I've talked about this game more than any other in Week 7. Both teams are certainly intriguing from a betting standpoint.
North Carolina State is a sell candidate, but I really like the offense. Sophomore quarterback Devin Leary has looked composed the last two weeks en route to upsetting both Pitt and Virginia.
The only problem I have with the Wolfpack is the defense is allowing more than 450 yards per game. Leary and Co. have masked that flaw, but it could get exposed on Saturday against a Duke offense that's averaging 34.5 points in the last two games.
The total dropped from 63 to 59.5 during the week but is slowly on its way back up. This is a green light to the over, and one that should feature plenty of pace and points.
Play: Over 60
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State (+4.5, 54.5), 4:00 p.m.
Mississippi State seems to be the hot play - the Bulldogs have dropped from +6.5 to +4.5 - but I'm more interested in fading the Texas A&M offense specifically.
The Aggies broke out last weekend against a Florida defense that we may soon learn isn't as good as we thought. I don't expect that momentum to carry over against Mississippi State.
The Bulldogs have had their struggles offensively but are quietly knocking it out of the park on defense, allowing just 4.0 yards per play.
A&M quarterback Kellen Mond tends to alternate between good and bad on a week-to-week basis. Something tells me he's in for a long night in Week 7.
Play: Texas A&M team total under 29.5 or better
(Odds source: theScore Bet)
2020 best bets record: 9-9
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.