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CFB betting: Biggest games of Week 12

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We don't have LSU-Alabama this week but there are still plenty of important matchups that will go a long way in determining the College Football Playoffs, including another big SEC battle between Georgia and Auburn.

Here's a betting breakdown for the biggest college games in Week 12.

Georgia (-3, 41) at Auburn

Another week, another big game in the SEC. Georgia is in the College Football Playoffs for now as the fourth team, but a loss at Auburn this weekend will end the Bulldogs' dreams of winning their first national title since 1980.

The Tigers are just 1-5 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the last six meetings between the teams, and they were thumped by the Bulldogs 27-10 in Athens last year, out-gaining Auburn 516-274 in total yards. However, the Bulldogs' offense has lacked explosiveness this season and that isn't likely to change Saturday against an Auburn defense allowing just 4.75 yards per play.

Gus Malzahn has been sensational at home since becoming Auburn's head coach, going 27-2 SU. Malzahn has also been profitable when coming off a bye. He's 10-0 SU and 8-1-1 ATS when playing a conference opponent off a bye in his career.

In a matchup of two strong defenses, the game could be decided by Auburn's freshman QB Bo Nix. Nix has been much better at home than on the road in his first season as a starter. He's completed 68% of his passes with four touchdowns and no interceptions at home, compared to a 48% completion rate with eight scores and six picks on the road.

Georgia opened -3 but early money on Auburn pushed the number to 2.5. However, as of Wednesday, the line is back up to -3 at many sportsbooks. Expect this game to see good two-way action with bettors backing both sides. Slight lean to Georgia with the more experienced Jake Fromm at quarterback.

Oklahoma (-10, 67.5) at Baylor

Oklahoma enters this game with one loss, while Baylor remains undefeated. However, it will be difficult for either team to reach the College Football Playoffs, even with a win on Saturday. Oklahoma came in at No. 10 in the latest rankings and despite being unbeaten, Baylor is down to 13.

The Bears continue to find ways to win. Last week, Baylor got a last-second 51-yard field goal to tie TCU in regulation before winning in triple overtime. Baylor has now won five games this season by eight points or fewer. Oklahoma has been far from impressive in its last two games, losing to Kansas State and needing a failed two-point conversation to hold off Iowa State at home, 42-41.

Oklahoma has owned this series recently, going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS the last four meetings. However, Baylor head coach Matt Rhule excels in the underdog role. Rhule is 13-3 ATS in his career when getting more than a field goal and facing an opponent allowing at least 23 points per game. The Sooners come in giving up an average of 25 points, including 89 in their last two games.

The line for this game opened Oklahoma -9.5 and moved to -10. Expect undefeated Baylor to be a popular public underdog getting double-digit points at home. It's hard to argue against siding with the Bears given Oklahoma's defensive struggles over the last month. If the line stays at 10, take the points.

Navy at Notre Dame (-8.5, 54)

Navy is one of the biggest surprises in college football, entering Saturday's game with a record of 7-1. We'll find out just how good the Midshipmen are when they travel to South Bend to face old nemesis Notre Dame.

These two teams have met every year since 1927. The Irish have dominated the series, going 76-13-2 all-time versus Navy. However, Navy has cashed for bettors recently, especially in South Bend, where the Midshipmen are 12-2 ATS the last 14 meetings. Navy has been a profitable road underdog in general over the years, going 30-14 ATS its last 44 games as an away dog.

One reason Navy is so hard to blow out is because of the Midshipmen's option offense that eats up clock and dominates time of possession. This year is no different as Navy comes in with the nation's top rushing attack, averaging 358 yards per game. The good news for the Midshipmen is that teams have been able to run the football on Notre Dame this season. The Irish rank 64th in FBS against the run, allowing 157.6 yards per game.

Notre Dame opened -11 but sharps hammered Navy, moving the number down to 8.5. Some of the value is gone now but expect Navy to keep this game close with a chance to pull off the outright upset.

Thomas Casale is theScore's supervising editor of sports betting. He's been following the sports betting industry for almost 30 years. A devoted fan of the wishbone offense, Thomas bets on all sports but specializes in college football, NFL, and college basketball. Find him on Twitter @TheTomCasale.

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