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10 teams that will beat Vegas' win-total projections

Kevin C. Cox / Getty Images Sport / Getty

With the college football season now less than 100 days away, many betting outlets have released their projected win totals from all teams at the FBS level.

Whether sports betting will be legalized in any states by the time the season kicks off remains to be seen, but if you happen to be making a trip to Las Vegas soon, here are some teams you should target to fly over their projections.

SEC

Florida - Over 7.5 (-120)

It's now Dan Mullen time in Florida and the former Mississippi State coach will want to make waves in his first season with the Gators. Luckily for him, Florida has a very workable schedule, including seven home games that will likely see it favored in each. Here's a bet that it can grab a road win at either rebuilding Tennessee or Vanderbilt to notch an eighth victory.

Georgia - Over 10.5 (-115)

Eleven wins may be a high number, but Georgia is as equipped as any team in the country to hit that total. The Bulldogs will likely be favored in every single game they play, and face their toughest opponent, Auburn, at home this season. With Kirby Smart having completed his training in the coaching school of Nick Saban, it seems unlikely the Bulldogs will take any opponent lightly this year.

ACC

Florida State - Over 7.5 (-110)

Everything that could go wrong essentially did for Florida State last year, yet the Seminoles were still able to post seven wins. Jimbo Fisher may have gone to Texas A&M, but Willie Taggart has shown he's more than capable of keeping the Seminoles among the country's top programs. There's too much talent on this roster to post another seven-win season, so take the over on this one.

Virginia - Over 5 (-110)

Outside of his first season with Virginia, Bronco Mendenhall has won at least six games in each of his 13 years as a coach. Look for that success to continue with the Cavaliers in 2018. Virginia will be favored in three of four non-conference games, and could very easily walk into Indiana and win that one as well. That means only two conference wins would be needed to hit this total, something it's more than capable of delivering on.

Big 12

Kansas State - Over 6 (-110)

Bill Snyder has won at least six games every season since coming back to the Kansas State program in 2009, and it's a safe bet that he continues that streak in 2018. With quarterbacks Alex Delton and Skylar Thompson back in the fold, the Wildcats' offense should be one of the more productive in the Big 12. The non-conference schedule is tricky with Mississippi State and UTSA coming to Manhattan, but Snyder has shown over the years that he can manufacture at least six wins out of nothing.

West Virginia - Over 7 (Even)

Seven wins may seem low for West Virginia, but Dana Holgorsen has failed to surpass that mark in four of his seven years with the program. With Will Grier back to lead the offense, look for the Mountaineers to pile up the points in the wide-open Big 12. West Virginia lost a ton on defense but should be able to outscore enough people to post eight wins.

Big Ten

Nebraska - Over 6 (-110)

Remember when Scott Frost took over an 0-12 UCF team and immediately won six games the following season? If he can accomplish that feat with the Knights, you can book it for his first season with Nebraska. Look for the Cornhuskers to start 3-0 with three favorable home non-conference matchups to open the schedule. The conference road schedule is brutal, but it won't be shocking to see Nebraska win all seven home contests to get over the number.

Purdue - Over 6 (-110)

Jeff Brohm won seven games in his first season with Purdue, and you can be damn sure he's hitting that number again this year. Missouri and Boston College may not be pushovers on the non-conference slate, but the fact they are both coming to Ross-Ade Stadium should help the Boilermakers secure wins. Ohio State and Michigan State aren't the easiest crossover opponents, but divisional games alone should see Purdue get past the projection.

Pac-12

Washington - Over 8.5 (-200)

In his 12-year career as a head coach, Chris Petersen has failed to win nine games only three times. With stars Jake Browning and Myles Gaskin back for another season, it's tough to see Washington not reaching that number in 2018. The schedule is difficult with a non-conference matchup versus Auburn, but the in-conference road games are very favorable. That should add up to a 9-3 record at worst.

UCLA - Over 5 (-110)

There's no way Chip Kelly's losing at least seven games in his first season back in college, right? The Pac-12 is there for the taking and even though a difficult road trip to Oklahoma is on the non-conference schedule, Kelly's pedigree in the college game should push UCLA to the total.

(Odds courtesy: South Point Casino)
(Photos courtesy: Action Images)

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