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NBA Wednesday player props: Bet Conley, fade Doncic from deep

Garrett Ellwood / National Basketball Association / Getty

We went 4-1 on our Tuesday player props, pushing our record to 7-3 so far this week. Twelve games line the board Wednesday, so let's keep the profits coming.

These are our five favorite bets for tonight.

Mike Conley over 2.5 made threes

Donovan Mitchell or not, the Jazz will make it rain from the perimeter. They're the league leaders in 3-point attempts (43.2) and makes per game (16.8), and they've averaged 19 triples in two games without their star shooting guard.

Our pick to click from beyond the arc is Conley. The veteran floor general has cashed this total in three of his last four starts and is converting threes at a career-high 41.6% rate this season.

Conley draws a Rockets defense that's No. 26 in the NBA in overall 3-point percentage (37.9%) and allows the fifth-most makes per contest to point guards (3.2).

Luka Doncic under 2.5 made threes

Doncic is a human highlight reel who gives under bettors fits on a nightly basis. The Mavericks cog leads the league in usage rate, headlined by 28.6 points per contest. But one area to fade him is from deep.

Doncic has been successful on just 25.7% of his 3-point attempts over his last seven starts, going under this total in four of them. Tonight, he matches up with a Pistons unit that quietly leads the league in 3-point makes per game to point guards (2.4).

Joel Embiid under 3.5 assists

Embiid's 3-point total came through for us Monday against the Warriors. We'll fade his assists when he and the 76ers take on the red-hot Suns.

Phoenix's defense is second only to Utah's in assists per made field goal (0.555) and ranks top four in the NBA in assists allowed per game to four separate positions on the floor.

The Suns only allow 3.4 per contest to centers, making this an awfully tall order for Embiid, who's gone under the total in six of eight starts since returning from injury.

Dejounte Murray under 14.5 points

The Heat's defense got a much-needed rest Tuesday after completing a back-to-back on Sunday and Monday. Here, we'll bank on the unit shutting down Murray.

The Spurs point guard is averaging a career-high 15.6 points per contest this season, but he's currently slumping. Murray has been limited to 14 points or fewer in four straight, and he's shot 40% or worse from the floor in three of them.

Don't expect him to turn things around against the Heat, who hold point guards to 20.6 points per game on 40.1% shooting; both marks are tops in the NBA.

OG Anunoby under 5.5 rebounds

There may only be so many rebounds to go around in Wednesday's Raptors-Nets tilt. Toronto brings down a league-low 49.3 per game, while Brooklyn is top 10 in boards allowed.

The obvious candidate to go under is Anunoby. He's surpassed this total once over his last four starts and faces a Nets unit giving up just 3.5 per game to small forwards, the fifth-best clip in the NBA.

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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