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MLB Tuesday best bets: Blue Jays to rebound in Chicago

Richard Lautens / Toronto Star / Getty

We have a jam-packed day of baseball ahead of us, with games scheduled to run for the better part of 12 hours.

Let's waste no time getting to our best bets.

Blue Jays (-120) @ White Sox (+100)

Though the Blue Jays are limping their way into this series following a sweep at the hands of the Red Sox, I like their chances of getting back on track.

Lucas Giolito has garnered strong results of late, conceding two runs or fewer in four of his past five starts. There are some concerns beneath the surface, though.

Giolito is allowing opposing batters to barrel up on the ball at more than a 10% clip, which is high. He isn't inducing a ton of ground balls, either.

The most concerning aspect for me, though, is that Giolito historically fares better against lefties than righties. That's not ideal for the White Sox.

The Blue Jays don't have many lefties - Daulton Varsho and Brandon Belt headline the group - while Bo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., George Springer all hit on the right side of the dish.

The White Sox are built similarly, with the majority of their power and best players hitting right-handed. The difference is that Chris Bassitt doesn't give up much to righties.

Giolito may pile up the strikeouts, but I expect him to allow a few runs along the way, which should send the Blue Jays well on their way to victory.

Bet: Blue Jays -120 (playable to -130)

Logan Gilbert over 5.5 strikeouts

Note: Game scheduled for 4:35 p.m. ET start.

We successfully faded Gilbert last time out, backing him to go under his strikeout line of 5.5.

We're flipping the switch in Tuesday afternoon's game against the Giants. Only two teams have struck out at a higher clip this season, and the Giants don't appear to be making much progress to improve in that regard.

Talented rookie Bryan Woo sat down seven Giants on Monday night, and righties like Justin Verlander (six), Carlos Carrasco (six), and Bassitt (12) also enjoyed a lot of success against the Giants of late.

The Giants chase power more than average, which can leave them susceptible to a lot of strikeouts.

While Gilbert's overall strike rate has trended downward of late, he's still inducing a lot of swings and misses. This is a good spot for him to get back on track and go over for the first time in five starts.

Odds: -120 (playable to -130)

Matt Olson over 0.5 RBIs

There was a period when Olson was ice cold and appeared a little lost. The team moved him down the lineup, and there was even some concern about how he'd age over the course of an eight-year extension. That talk has completely dissipated.

Olson owns a .283 batting average, .365 OBP, and .426 xwOBA against right-handed pitching since the beginning of June.

He's generated hard contact a whopping 56% of the time and is tied with Shohei Ohtani for the league lead in most homers versus righties. Pretty good.

He's retaken his spot hitting cleanup and knocked in 16 runs over the past 10 games, good for an average of 1.6 RBIs per.

Although Shane Bieber has pitched well for the Guardians lately, he doesn't have electric stuff. Olson owns a near .300 batting average and 60% hard-hit rate against pitchers who profile similarly to Bieber - or worse - in that regard.

At plus money, I see value in backing Olson to drive in a run.

Odds: +105 (playable to -115)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.

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