MLB Wednesday best bets: White Sox to stay hot vs. Rockies
We have a full day of baseball ahead of us, with the action running from 12:35 p.m. ET until deep into the night.
Let's dive deeper into a couple of games - one from the early slate, one from the evening - that stand out from the rest.
The Chicago White Sox are heating up at the right time. They've won seven of their last 10 games, with six of those wins coming by at least two runs.
Freeland hasn't pitched as well as advertised of late. His ERA (3.72) paints a much brighter picture than his FIP (4.87) over the last month, indicating he could be a prime candidate for some regression.
His biggest problem - by far - has been limiting hard contact. Freeland has given up hard-hit balls 43.3% of the time, the most among Wednesday's projected starters.
Making matters worse for Freeland is the White Sox excel against left-handed pitching. They sit second in wOBA and fifth in ISO versus lefties since the beginning of August. Chicago also ranks sixth in hard-hit rate, making the team more than capable of exploiting Freeland's weaknesses.
This is a really good spot for Chicago's offense, and a very bad one for Colorado's. Although Dylan Cease hasn't been as untouchable of late, he still owns a 2.45 ERA and has struck out more than 26% of opposing batters over the last month.
Perhaps even more importantly, the Rockies haven't hit righties one lick. Only the Miami Marlins have posted a worse wOBA against right-handed pitching over the last three weeks.
Cease should be able to put together a ceiling performance - or close to it - and put his White Sox well on their way to an eighth win over 11 games.
Bet: White Sox -1.5 (-110)
We backed the Baltimore Orioles in their rebound win Tuesday night. We're going right back to them Wednesday, but with a different angle. Here, the total stands out.
Dating to early July - Wells just worked his way back into the lineup - he's conceded at least three runs in four of his past five starts. He failed to pitch even six innings deep in any of those games.
For all of the Washington Nationals' struggles, they've actually hit right-handed pitching well these last three weeks. The Nationals rank second in wOBA during that span. While they don't have lethal talent, they can string together some runs against struggling arms.
On the flip side, Corbin has been one of the league's worst pitchers all season long. He owns a 6.30 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP, and he's struggled mightily to keep the ball in the park.
Don't let his 3.70 ERA this past month fool you - Corbin isn't playing well. His 5.05 FIP indicates he's being hit around, and it's only a matter of time before that catches up to him again.
Baltimore has plenty of pop in the lineup, and the O's are still playing for their season. They won't take their foot off the gas if they can get to Corbin.
Expect some fireworks in this one.
Bet: Over 8.5 (+100)
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.