Nations League best bets: Germany visits Spain with finals berth on line

Find line reports, best bets, and subscribe to push notifications in the Betting News section.

We gave back some of our Euro profits over the weekend's Nations League slate, but we've got another batch remaining to end this international break on a high.

Let's dive into some of the biggest matches to round out the group stage.

Germany (+185) at Spain (+145), Draw (+245); Nov. 17 @ 2:45 p.m. ET

With one match remaining, Germany sits atop Group A4, a point above Spain. A draw will be enough for Die Mannschaft to secure a first-place finish and berth in October's finals. Germany's reputation is still a bit fractured, stemming from a miserable 2018 World Cup and disappointing 2018-19 Nations League campaign that followed. However, an influx of youth has helped the Germans to an impressive run with 10 wins to just one defeat in their last 15 matches.

Spain, meanwhile, has endured a bit of a sticky spell in 2020. After breezing through a relatively easy qualifying group, La Roja have won just twice from seven matches this year. This is a step up in class, and based on what we've seen - they failed to beat Germany, Portugal, or the Netherlands - it's tough to back the hosts to pip the Germans to first place. Spain lacks the horses in attack - scoring just three times in its last five matches - and with Germany only needing a point to secure top spot, a draw feels inevitable.

Pick: Draw (+245)

Portugal (+110) at Croatia (+255), Draw (+245); Nov. 17 @ 2:45 p.m.

Defeat in Sweden on Saturday came at a cost for Croatia, as center-back Duje Caleta-Car picked up a yellow card and subsequent suspension, keeping him out for this Group A3 finale. His absence is a big blow against a Portugal attack capable of scoring in bunches, with Cristiano Ronaldo likely to start alongside Joao Felix and the in-form Diogo Jota.

Croatia has struggled defensively even at full strength, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of its last 10 games and conceding 17 goals in seven matches in 2020. Portugal was held goalless in both Nations League matches against France but scored nine in three against the remainder of the group. Expect the Selecao to prey on Croatia's weakened defense, alleviating their frustrations from Saturday's 1-0 defeat to the world champion.

Pick: Portugal (+110)

Netherlands (+100) at Poland (+255), Draw (+265); Nov. 18 @ 2:45 p.m. ET

Frank de Boer will be resting a little easier following a 3-1 win over Bosnia on Sunday, his first as Netherlands boss, which ended a dubious winless run since taking charge. The Oranje still have a chance at topping Group A1, but so does Poland. We simply haven't seen enough quality football from the Dutch under De Boer to have confidence here at such a short price.

They still don't look particularly potent in attack, while Poland has kept three clean sheets in its last four matches, including a well-fought 0-0 draw with Italy in October. The host has also been in good form at the other end and will fancy its chances of getting on the scoresheet here with Robert Lewandowski leading the line and the Oranje missing some key bodies in defense. All signs point to a tame 1-1 draw.

Pick: Draw (+265)

(Odds source: theScore Bet)

Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for theScore. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.