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EPL best bets: Arsenal to claim rare win at Old Trafford

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This season's fixture list is relentless as domestic and European competitions refuse to give a day off. While it may be exhausting for the players, betting fatigue doesn't exist. Keep 'em coming.

Here are our best bets for Matchday 7 in the Premier League.

Chelsea (-200) at Burnley (+480), Draw (+305); Oct. 31 @ 11 a.m. ET

It's been an abysmal start to the season for Burnley, but Sean Dyche's side is getting healthy and playing better football of late. The Clarets were deserving of three points against Tottenham at Turf Moor yet came away empty-handed, failing to capitalize on their chances. No club has scored fewer goals this season, but in Dyche's eight years at Burnley, we've learned a lot about the resiliency of his sides.

After struggling defensively early in the campaign, Chelsea have kept three successive clean sheets and are in good form coming into this clash. A midweek trip to Russia will have been a burden, though, and fatigue will prove problematic against a Burnley side that scraps for every inch. The Clarets are trending in the right direction despite sitting in the relegation zone, and a positive string of results feels imminent. Frank Lampard is still trying to figure out what his best XI looks like and a desperate Burnley will take advantage with a precious point Saturday.

Pick: Draw (+305)

Southampton (+175) at Aston Villa (+125), Draw (+210); Nov. 1 @ 7 a.m.

Not to take away from what Villa have done to start the season, but an unprecedented 7-2 win over Liverpool was an aberration. Wins over lowly Fulham and an undermanned Leicester were more impressive on paper than in reality, while last weekend's 3-0 defeat to Leeds was certainly coming. Southampton are in equally good form, and I feel much stronger optimism about their long-term prospects this season.

Ralph Hasenhuttl continues to do an excellent job as Saints deservedly round into form. They come into this match on the back of a 3-3 draw at Stamford Bridge and a 2-0 win over league-leaders Everton at St. Mary's, all part of a four-match unbeaten run. A top-10 finish feels more like an expectation than a possibility at this point, and they've certainly had the better of Dean Smith's side since their return to the top flight. Southampton comfortably completed the double over the Villans last season and will make it three in a row with a win in West Midlands on Sunday.

Pick: Southampton (+175)

Arsenal (+225) at Manchester United (+105), Draw (+210), Nov. 1 @ 11:30 a.m.

All is sunny in Manchester right now for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. A fortnight ago, his job was in peril, but three wins from four - including a pair over PSG and RB Leipzig in the Champions League - relieved the pressure. However, United still lack conviction and Solskjaer hasn't figured out how to get his best players on the pitch at once. Donny van de Beek and Paul Pogba being regulars on the bench is problematic.

In three Premier League home matches this season, the Red Devils lost 3-1 to Crystal Palace, 6-1 to Spurs, and drew 0-0 with Chelsea in a game where they created precious little. They last won a league match at Old Trafford on July 4, and the constant tinkering with the starting lineup is doing them no favors.

Arsenal have hit a rough patch in the league, but it's been an incredibly tricky run of fixtures for Mikel Arteta's side. They've uncharacteristically been struggling for goals, and it's a matter of time before the floodgates open. United have had their issues in defense, and Sunday will be another case of two steps forward, one step back for Solskjaer, who lost his only previous meeting with Arteta back in January.

Pick: Arsenal (+225)

(Odds source: theScore Bet)

Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for theScore. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.

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