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Team-by-Team Fantasy Projections: Chicago Cubs

Jonathan Daniel / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Here are the 2016 MLB fantasy projections for the Chicago Cubs (ZiPS projections courtesy Dan Szymborski; Steamer projections courtesy Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom; Zeile projections courtesy FantasyPros):

Hitters

C Miguel Montero

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 38 92 12 54 0
Steamer 34 73 9 37 2
Zeile 41 79 11 40 2

Montero will be spelled by David Ross, but should see the majority of the starts. He'll occasionally bat high enough in the order to see RBI opportunities, but isn't a good enough hitter to capitalize on them. He does have some pop, however, so consider him a low-end No. 2 in two-catcher leagues.

1B Anthony Rizzo

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 94 156 32 99 10
Steamer 92 154 32 99 10
Zeile 95 152 31 93 11

Rizzo is in the conversation for the No. 2 first baseman overall, and will likely go at the back end of the first round in 10- and 12-team leagues. He's a lock for 90 runs and 90 RBIs if healthy, with 30-homer pop and enough stolen bases to earn the edge over Miguel Cabrera and Jose Abreu.

2B Ben Zobrist

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 76 133 14 56 7
Steamer 70 128 12 54 6
Zeile 70 130 12 57 6

Zobrist is by no means a statistical marvel, but his multi-position eligibility makes him the ultimate fantasy Swiss Army Knife. He'll hit high in a loaded Cubs batting order, giving him terrific run-scoring potential without hurting any of his other counting stats. He's a solid starting middle infielder in most leagues.

3B Kris Bryant

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 94 148 29 106 14
Steamer 87 150 31 96 11
Zeile 91 150 31 98 12

Bryant is a sure-fire second-rounder in standard drafts after an impressive rookie campaign. He may not yet be on the same level as Josh Donaldson or Nolan Arenado, but he isn't far away. He'll be locked into the No. 4 spot in the batting order and has a great opportunity to knock in over 100 runs.

SS Addison Russell

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 61 116 14 59 7
Steamer 56 119 14 60 9
Zeile 61 124 15 60 7

You could do worse than Russell as your starting shortstop, but he's probably better used as a utility middle infielder or a bench option in shallower leagues. Russell has better-than-average power for the position, but will hit low in the order - hampering his counting stats across the board.

LF Kyle Schwarber

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 98 128 32 100 4
Steamer 73 125 25 76 5
Zeile 76 127 27 80 5

In leagues where Schwarber is catcher-eligible, he should be the No. 2 backstop off the board behind Buster Posey. He'll likely hit fifth in the order, which means fewer pitches to hit - but that should also mean more RBI opportunities. You'll have to swallow a low BA, but he's a fourth-round pick.

CF Jason Heyward

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 85 149 17 66 18
Steamer 91 164 18 72 18
Zeile 86 160 16 69 19

Heyward's impact will be far more significant in real life than in fantasy, but he remains a capable second or third outfielder depending on league size. You're drafting him for his runs and steals potential rather than homers and RBIs, but he should put together a solid offensive year overall.

RF Dexter Fowler

SOURCE R H HR RBI SB
ZiPS 76 126 13 43 14
Steamer 76 125 12 50 15
Zeile 78 124 13 45 15

Projections are nearly identical across the board for Fowler, who should score a boatload of runs atop a stacked Cubs lineup. He's a cinch for double-digit home runs and steals if he stays healthy, and should make for a serviceable fourth or fifth outfielder in the majority of mixed-league formats.

Starters

RHP Jake Arrieta

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZiPS 30 186.1 194 50 2.56
Steamer 32 208 219 56 2.95
Zeile 32 204 211 54 2.80

How will Arrieta follow up a truly memorable performance from the second half of the 2015 season? Fantasy owners will need to keep their expectations reasonable, but Arrieta proved he belongs among the league's elite. Draft him confidently in the second round of standard leagues.

LHP Jon Lester

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZIPS 30 199 194 46 2.98
Steamer 32 204 202 50 3.16
Zeile 32 204 201 50 3.23

Lester's 2015 performance was overshadowed by Arrieta's second-half brilliance, but the veteran left-hander was sensational. His ERA and record may keep owners away, but he remains a top-level strikeout pitcher with superb control. He's a solid SP2 in the majority of mixed formats.

RHP John Lackey

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZIPS 28 183 156 42 3.34
Steamer 31 193 164 48 3.68
Zeile 31 194 162 48 3.69

Lackey takes his talents to the Windy City, where he'll slot in as an innings-eating No. 3 option. He likely won't repeat his resurgent 2015 showing, but he should be good for 160+ strikeouts and solid rate stats. He's an SP4 in 12-team leagues, and an SP5 in 10-team configurations.

RHP Kyle Hendricks

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZIPS 28 159.2 125 40 3.61
Steamer 29 166 139 41 3.50
Zeile 29 167 141 40 3.64

Hendricks is a luxury most teams don't have - a No. 4 option good enough to be a No. 3 or even a No. 2 on some teams. From a fantasy standpoint, owners should expect a solid K rate and strong peripherals; Hendricks is a consistent, low-risk SP6 in season-long leagues.

RHP Jason Hammel

SOURCE GS IP K BB ERA
ZIPS 25 144.1 125 39 3.93
Steamer 28 157 144 41 3.76
Zeile 28 164 153 43 3.73

Hammel slides a step below Hendricks in fantasy by virtue of a slightly higher ERA - otherwise, the two are nearly interchangeable. Hammel also faces shakier job certainty as the No. 5, but he's not your typical back-end rotation option. Draft him as an SP6 with solid K and BB rates.

Closer

RHP Hector Rondon

SOURCE IP K BB ERA
ZIPS 64 62 18 2.95
Steamer 65 65 20 3.14
Zeile 68 67 19 2.97

Rondon isn't a Kimbrel- or Chapman-type shut down closer, but he should see as many save opportunities as he can handle for the powerhouse Cubs. It's unclear whether any other Chicago reliever will challenge for the ninth-inning role, but Rondon should be able to hang onto it regardless.

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