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Finding fantasy value in bad real-life situations

Isaiah J. Downing / USA TODAY Sports

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MLB players can often find themselves in bad situations which will lead to a plummet in their fantasy draft stock. Here are five scenarios where players will be overlooked on draft day because they are in a poor situation:

Rockies pitchers

Examples: Tyler Chatwood, Jon Gray, Jeff Hoffman

It's no secret that Coors Field is a hitter's paradise. The thin Denver air causes the ball to soar much further than it would at sea level. Rockies pitchers are rarely owned in fantasy circles, but they can have substantial value when streamed in their road outings.

Gray actually had slightly better numbers at home, but it was likely just an anomaly. Hoffman and Chatwood were both much better on the road, especially the latter:

Split Rec ERA WHIP
Home 4-8 6.12 1.64
Road 8-1 1.69 1.11

As you can see, Chatwood was one of the most effective pitchers in baseball away from Coors Field. Yet, he will likely go on undrafted because pitches for the Rockies and doesn't offer strikeout upside, like Gray. Whenever Colorado is on a road trip, get Chatwood -- or another Rockies starter -- on your roster.

Good hitters on bad teams

Examples: Jose Abreu, Maikel Franco, Wil Myers

I scooped up Freddie Freeman in the seventh round of theScore's 2016 fantasy baseball draft (10-team league); the fact that he was on a poor team overshadowed his individual abilities as a hitter. We all know what kind of year he went on to have.

Who will be the 2017 edition of Freeman? Abreu, Franco and Myers are all good hitters with plenty of upside that will likely be drafted far lower than they should just because they are on poor teams. You shouldn't load your team with hitters like this, but taking one two is a good idea.

Elite set-up men

Examples: Dellin Betances, Andrew Miller, Kyle Barraclough

These guys will often go overlooked in drafts because they don't help you in the saves category. Yet, if your league has K/9, they can help you big time. Even if it doesn't have K/9, they will drastically lower your ERA and WHIP.

Pitchers like Betances and Milller are two of the best relievers in all of baseball. Both are only an injury away from becoming two of the most valuable fantasy closers in the majors.

Pitchers with innings limit concerns

Examples: Jameson Taillon, Blake Snell, Steven Matz

In re-draft leagues, pitchers with an innings limit will almost always go later in drafts than they should. The best thing to do is draft one or more of these pitchers in the later rounds and if they are having an exceptional year, trade them at mid-season.

There will surely be at least one more managers in your league who will be unaware of a team's plans to reduce a young pitchers workload. You can't afford to have a pitcher on your fantasy team will have starts skipped or eventually be shutdown in the thick of the fantasy playoffs.

Players without clear-cut playing time

Examples: Javier Baez, Tyler Naquin, Michael Conforto

Baez, Naquin and Conforto and just three examples of high upside youngsters with foggy playing time.

Baez has struggled to hit righties in his career and the Cubs have a tremendous amount of depth and versatility, giving Joe Maddon to the option to play the matchups.

Conforto and Naquin, both left-handed hitters, have struggled to hit lefties in their brief careers. Naquin is expected to start the season in a platoon, while Conforto may not even start on a regular basis thanks to a crowded outfield in the Big Apple.

Baez will likely go somewhere in the middle rounds, but if Naquin and Conforto can at least keep their head above water against lefties, they should play themselves into everyday roles, therefore providing low-risk, high-reward, late-round options.

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