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Fantasy Basketball Faceoff: Draymond Green vs. Giannis Antetokounmpo

Kelley L Cox / USA TODAY Sports

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Here's a look at whether fantasy basketball owners would be better off selecting Golden State Warriors SF/PF Draymond Green or Milwaukee Bucks SF/PF Giannis Antetokounmpo in 2016 drafts:

2015 Stats

PLAYER PTS AST REB STL+BLK FG% 3P% FT%
D. Green 14.0 7.4 9.5 2.9 49.0 38.8 69.6
G. Antetokounmpo 16.9 4.3 7.7 2.6 50.6 25.7 72.4

The Case for Green

Green made the leap from being a major breakout rotational piece for the 2014-15 championship Warriors to becoming a bona fide All-Star and fantasy superstar. He trailed only Russell Westbrook with 13 triple-doubles, combining that elite level of all-around production with solid contributions to defensive and 3-point shooting stats as well.

And yet, Green has slid down expert consensus boards into the second round. That's because the Warriors were able to fit former MVP Kevin Durant into their cap. While that move clearly improves a historically good team and makes them odds-on favorites to bring another championship back to the Bay Area, it adds one more high-usage mouth to feed.

Green is now the fourth perimeter scoring option among the starters and the second-best interior playmaker (after KD), while Durant and newly signed big men Zaza Pachulia and David West will all cut into Green's rebounding rates. Time will tell how much of a hit Green's fantasy production will take, but it's clear that he's worse off than he was three months ago.

Best-Case Scenario: Green's drafters will quietly hope for an injury - any disruption to the Steph Curry/Klay Thompson/Durant triumvirate - that will upgrade his role as a playmaker. His scoring will definitely take a hit, but perhaps he can improve his assists with yet another elite scorer making everyone's lives a little easier.

Worst-Case Scenario: After an embarrassing Finals loss, the worst possible outcome would be a more mature Green - one less inclined to chase statistical milestones like triple-doubles. A team-first approach is one that brings real-life success but makes fantasy players cringe; you want Green to grab uncontested rebounds from his teammates when the team is up by 20.

The Case for Antetokounmpo

The Greek Freak is the only player in the league that can matchup Green's production and positional versatility (save a motivated LeBron James). A dearth of star-power in Milwaukee allowed Antetokounmpo to outscore Green over the course of the season - and there's reason to think that he could close the gap in other categories this season.

Coach Jason Kidd has openly considered deploying Antetokounmpo as the team's point guard, a nod to his ability as a passer and the Bucks' overall commitment to playing "positionless basketball".

Fantasy players got a glimpse of Antetokounmpo's potential in a more ball-dominant role at the end of last season. Not only did he average 19.1 points, 7.3 assists, and 8.1 rebounds over his final 23 games, but he also added 3.4 'stocks' (steals plus blocks). His usage rate will eclipse 25 percent this year - on pace with other playmaking superstars.

Best-Case Scenario: Antetokounmpo is given free reign as PG, possibly resulting in PG eligibility in addition to both forward spots. He'll be the focal point of everything the Bucks do on offense while using his uncompromising length to crash the glass, chase down blocks and poke steals loose. If the Bucks can get back to the playoffs, he'll be a fringe MVP candidate.

Worst-Case Scenario: The positionless basketball mantra falls flat when quicker guards outpace his reach and bigger interior threats bully his relatively slight frame out of the paint. Michael Carter-Williams returns to lead ball-handling duties. Antetokounmpo's quest to improve his outside shooting draws him out of the paint and away from easy rebounds.

Verdict

You can't talk me out of Antetokounmpo. Green is still a fantastic player and shouldn't fall past the second round, but his fantasy potential is ultimately capped by the presence of three other All-Stars. The only threat to Giannis' authority in Milwaukee are PF Jabari Parker, C Greg Monroe and SF Khris Middleton, all of whom can still function as complementary pieces.

Fantasy superstardom resides at the intersection of ability and opportunity. Both of these versatile multi-tool players have the former. The difference maker is the the latter qualification; every aspect this the Bucks team has been designed to put Antetokounmpo in a position to succeed. With respect to Green, the Greek Freak wins this fantasy faceoff - no low-blow intended.

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