One (or Two) and Done: 5 Single-Game Fantasy Wonders
In the early going, stats can be very misleading. One 0-for game can lead to a batting average drop of 50 points, while a four-hit, two-homer performance can make players instant trade targets or waiver-wire sensations.
Here is a list of five players whose stats are drastically inflated from one game:
OF Steven Souza Jr., Rays
Stat | H/AB | AVG | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
April 6 | 4/4 | 1.000 | 2 | 4 |
Rest of Season | 4/20 | .200 | 1 | 1 |
Souza has plenty of power and is still young at age 26, but don't expect this kind of production moving forward. One great game against the Blue Jays drastically inflated his stats.
Souza. did hit 16 home runs in 373 at-bats last season, but he also struck out 144 times. He could very well hit 20 long balls with a full season under his belt, but don't expect his .225 batting average from last season to climb much higher. It is not worth dropping an established veteran in favor of Souza.

OF Jay Bruce, Reds
Stat | H/AB | AVG | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
April 7 | 3/4 | .750 | 2 | 5 |
Rest of Season | 6/26 | .230 | 0 | 5 |
Speaking of established veterans, Bruce has hit 18 dingers or more in every season in his big league career. However, he has hit above .262 just once.
He'll certainly have his fair share of RBI chances with OBP machine Joey Votto hitting in front of him, but don't expect an average higher than .250. He's solid pickup if your fantasy team is in need of some home runs, but you can do much better in a deep OF crop.

OF Matt Kemp, Padres
Stat | H/AB | AVG | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
April 8/9 | 7/11 | .636 | 3 | 10 |
Rest of Season | 4/26 | .153 | 0 | 0 |
Kemp is the lone exception where two games are included rather than one. It's worth noting that those two massive performances that drastically inflated his season stats came at Coors Field.
Although changes were made to San Diego's Petco Park before 2015 in attempt to make it more hitter friendly, it still ranked 20th with a 0.931 Park Factor (over 1.000 favors hitter, under 1.000 favors pitcher) last season according to ESPN.
Kemp has zero protection in the Padres lineup. His 100 RBIs last season was lucky based on his inflated average with runners in scoring position. If you own Kemp in fantasy, trade him; his value may never be higher than it is now.
His only relevance comes in daily fantasy or as an add/drop guy whenever the Padres play at Coors Field, where he, like so many other hitters, has raked throughout his career.

OF Colby Rasmus, Astros
Stat | H/AB | AVG | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
April 9 | 2/3 | .667 | 2 | 4 |
Rest of Season | 7/26 | .269 | 1 | 3 |
Like Bruce, Rasmus can be trusted for home runs in fantasy, but not much more. From 2012-2015, Rasmus had 179 strikeouts over a 162-game average, and doesn't make up for it with a high OBP like many all-or-nothing sluggers.
Don't read into the hot start. If you can get any solid piece for Rasmus via trade, pull the trigger. Power like his at the OF position can easily be found on the waiver wire.

2B/SS Starlin Castro, Yankees
Stat | H/AB | AVG | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
April 6 | 4/5 | .800 | 1 | 5 |
Rest of Season | 5/21 | .238 | 1 | 4 |
Castro might be the lone exception of these players that is worth hanging on to in fantasy because of his 2B/SS position eligibility. He certainly won't hit .346 all season, but if he can keep it somewhere around .285 with 15 home runs he has plenty of value at middle infield, especially considering he was drafted late (176 ADP).
Playing at Yankee Stadium and in the American League East gives the 26-year-old an opportunity to set a career high in home runs.
Castro had a down offensive season a year ago. Much of that may have been due to his terrible play in the field. He made 18 errors at SS and hit just .243/.278/.320 in 443 plate appearances, but when he was moved to 2B - a much easier defensive position - Castro hit .339/.358/.583 in a small sample size of 121 PAs.
There may be no stat to back it up, but there's a direct psychological correlation between fielding and hitting. If a player is routinely making errors, he may not be fully focused on his at-bats. Now as the everyday 2B in New York, Castro could have a big season.