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The RSM Classic at Sea Island Resort in Georgia is on deck this week for the final official PGA Tour stop of 2019.
The Seaside and Plantation Courses will test the 156-player field looking to clinch a highly coveted victory before the calendar flips. Three of the past four champions of this event were first-time winners on Tour. Last year, Charles Howell III ended a decade-long drought with his playoff defeat of Patrick Rodgers.
2018: Charles Howell III (-19, playoff)
2017: Austin Cook (-21)
2016: Mackenzie Hughes (-17, playoff)
2015: Kevin Kisner (-22)
2014: Robert Streb (-14, playoff)
2013: Chris Kirk (-14)
Here are the favorites, along with their best finish at Sea Island:
|Webb Simpson||8-1||2nd (2011)|
|Billy Horschel||16-1||T-2 (2016)|
|Matt Kuchar||20-1||T-7 (2013)|
|Charles Howell III||25-1||1st (2018)|
|Harris English||28-1||T-15 (2012)|
|Kevin Kisner||28-1||1st (2015)|
|Adam Hadwin||33-1||T-70 (2011)|
|Russell Knox||33-1||T-27 (2012)|
Simpson tops the list at 8-1 and is impossible to bet at odds that offer no value, especially in a tournament that's wide-open due to the minimal discrepancy in talent from top to bottom. Simpson is the best in the field and should be in the mix come Sunday, but he hasn't played since early October, so there's no telling how sharp his game is.
Horschel (16-1) is somewhat intriguing. He placed T-8 at the Mayakoba Classic last week for his third top-10 finish in his last five starts. However, his price is a little too short if you're looking to maximize value. As a single bullet, Horschel would be the pick from the favorites.
There's little to get excited about with the remainder of the group at the top. Howell (25-1) is the defending champion but it's tough to see him winning back-to-back RSM Classics. English and Kisner are reasonable options each at 28-1 but still don't scream value.
Scheffler (28-1) could make the RSM Classic his first Tour title but the courses at Sea Island don't favor his power-dominant game.
Can Brendon Todd win three straight PGA Tour events? The hottest golfer on the planet is 40-1 to emerge victorious once again, a stunning development for someone who was ranked outside of the top 2000 at this time last year. He fits the Sea Island courses very well and nobody would talk you out of betting someone who has won back-to-back events.
The middle range is full of the typical suspects at a fall tournament. Zach Johnson (40-1), Brian Gay (50-1), Rory Sabbatini (50-1), and Russell Henley (50-1) are all playing well and priced in this range.
It feels as though a long shot will take home the hardware this week, as many players who are at 80-1 and above are in good form and suit the courses.
Russell Henley (50-1)
If you believe in good karma, Henley is a must-bet at 50-1. He missed the cut in Mexico last week when a bizarre rule infraction added eight strokes to his second-round score. He was sitting comfortably in contention at 7-under before his honesty cost him.
Now, Henley will have a chip on his shoulder, and his style perfectly fits the courses at Sea Island. He's finished inside the top 10 at this event three times in five appearances. The former Georgia Bulldog also has a number of solid results at comparable tournaments throughout his career, such as the Sony Open and Greenbrier Classic.
Robert Streb (100-1)
There is a lot to like about Streb when nearly all of the options feel similar. The 32-year-old is coming off a T-14 result in Mexico, where he led the field in greens hit in regulation - proof his ball-striking is on point. He also won the 2014 RSM Classic, so you shouldn't worry about course fit. At 100-1, a former winner who is in good form is too much value to pass up.
Robby Shelton (110-1)
Shelton is a steal to earn his first PGA Tour title at 110-1. The Alabama alum recorded a T-6 last week in Mexico, where he ranked inside the top six in both greens in regulation and birdies made. His bogey-free final round propelled him toward his second top-10 finish of the season, the first coming at The Greenbrier.
In addition to his solid tee-to-green game, the 24-year-old recently transitioned to the arm-lock putting grip, which is also used by Simpson and Kuchar. The switch paid dividends at Mayakoba, as Shelton finished inside the top 20 in putts per green in regulation after struggling in that regard for three straight events.
Doc Redman (150-1)
Redman missed the cut by one stroke last week but his numbers indicate he actually played well. He hit 13 of 14 fairways and 15 of 18 greens in regulation in Round 2 but failed to convert the majority of his birdie opportunities. If he made one extra putt, his number for the RSM Classic would likely be in the 80-1 range.
The 2017 U.S. Amateur champion displayed his ball-striking prowess after turning pro last season and already has a top-15 result this year. He also played well at The Greenbrier to kick off the new campaign. Redman's talent level simply doesn't compare to those priced around him.