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NBA Tuesday player props: Play Jamal Murray's points, assists totals

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We went 0-for-5 on Monday's player props. In the words of Ron Burgundy, "I'm not even mad. That's amazing."

With seven games on tap, Tuesday is officially bounce-back day. Here's where your money should be tonight.

Jamal Murray under 18.5 points, over 4.5 assists

I'm fading Murray's scoring output but playing his assists total for Tuesday's matchup with the Pistons. Detroit ranks just 17th in points allowed per game and 20th in opponent 3-point percentage, but its defense has also given up the fewest points and the fewest 3-point makes to shooting guards.

At the same time, the Pistons have surrendered the second-most assists to the position (just north of five per contest). And Murray has surpassed this number in four of his last five outings.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 1.5 made threes

Who owns the best defense against opposing point guards from a fantasy perspective? The Bulls. Yes, the Bulls! They've allowed the fewest points and the second-fewest made threes from the position per game. Meanwhile, Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted more than five 3-pointers just once over his previous nine games and hasn't converted multiple triples in back-to-back contests. Investing in Chicago's perimeter defense is not something I imagined when this season started, but here we are.

Pascal Siakam over 2.5 made threes

The Raptors' offense has a chance to take off on Tuesday against a Bucks defense coming off an overtime game on Monday. If there's one player on Toronto's side who will go over, it has to be Siakam, who should own a huge edge on the perimeter. Milwaukee's allowed the most 3-point makes per game to opposing power forwards, and Siakam hasn't been shy from downtown - he's attempted at least five treys in five of the Raptors' last six games.

Lonzo Ball under 11.5 points

I'm far from in love with the matchup for Ball, who normally scores the bulk of his points from beyond the arc. Doing so will be difficult against a Lakers defense that ranks 10th in opponent 3-point percentage and has allowed the fifth-least 3-point makes by opposing shooting guards. Ball went off for 23 points in a recent meeting with L.A., but I don't smell another revenge game for the former Laker.

Jayson Tatum over 24.5 points

I don't typically endorse an over for a total this high, but this is some serious disrespect for Tatum. He's scored at least 25 points in eight of his last nine games and now gets the holy grail of matchups against a Trail Blazers defense that's surrendered 24.7 points per game to opposing forwards, the most in the NBA.

Kyle Lowry over 1.5 steals + blocks

Ah, the ol' combined steals and blocks prop. I'll take a stab at Lowry's over against Milwaukee, which has allowed the most steals to opposing point guards. Lowry's recorded 11 steals over his last six games, a span that also included three blocks.

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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