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Squad Up Daily MLB Early Fantasy Dose: Chasing Chacin

Isaiah J. Downing / USA TODAY Sports

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Here is a look at the Squad Up daily MLB fantasy picture for the 12-game slate beginning at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 28:

Hitter Stacks

  • Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (RHP Jhoulys Chacin): Chacin has been absolutely battered on the road this season, sporting a 10.94 ERA over 26 1/3 innings. He has given up seven homers with a .439 wOBA during the span. The Nationals' offense is one of the best in the league, so fantasy owners need to have some exposure to Washington.

3-player stack: SS Trea Turner (61K), 3B Anthony Rendon (53K), C Jose Lobaton (41K)

  • Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies (RHP Zach Eflin): Eflin's past two starts have been ones to forget, as he gave up 21 total hits and 15 earned runs. Whether he can bounce back is an unknown considering he is just a 23-year-old sophomore. The Cincinnati offense has been a top-10 unit through May.

3-player stack: SS Zack Cozart (49K), 1B Joey Votto (66K), OF Adam Duvall (54K)

  • Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers (RHP Jimmy Nelson): The Diamondbacks rank atop the majors with a .353 wOBA vs. RHPs, and while their hitter-friendly home ballpark might have something to do with it, Miller Parker is highly conducive to offense itself. Swapping out 1B Paul Goldschmidt for cheaper 3B Jake Lamb makes this a very affordable stacking option.

3-player stack: Lamb (55K), 2B Brandon Drury (44K), OF David Peralta (56K)

Pitcher Breakdown

  • TARGET - RHP Joe Ross (70K), Nationals (vs. Padres): Ross returned from three weeks in the minors to spin a gem against the Seattle Mariners, striking out six batters with just one earned run over eight innings. The visiting Padres have the fourth-worst wOBA vs. RHPs (.295) in the majors, and even if Ross does slip, he'll have the support of one of the best offenses in baseball.
  • BARGAIN - LHP Danny Duffy (51K), Royals (at Indians): Duffy seems to have regained his strikeout potential over his past three games, sitting down 21 batters in 21 innings. The recent dominance has led to a 1.71 ERA over those three outings. The Cleveland offense has been better of late, but they are still disappointing compared to their offseason expectations.
  • FADE - RHP Rick Porcello (57K), Red Sox (vs. Mariners): After picking up seven quality starts, Porcello has gone without in his last two while surrendering 10 earned runs in total. Though he could pick up a win considering the Mariners' recent struggles, owners should be looking for more upside at this price tag.
  • CONTRARIAN - LHP Patrick Corbin (73K), Diamondbacks (at Brewers): Corbin's 4.40 ERA and 7.4 K/9 doesn't necessarily hint at big upside, but he could get a big boost from the absence of OF Ryan Braun. Milwaukee has struck out in 25.6 percent of their PAs against LHPs, the third-highest rate in the majors. Corbin's ceiling looks something like his nine-K, seven-inning outing against the Padres from earlier this season.

Bargain Plays

  • 1B Mark Reynolds (43K), Rockies (vs. Cardinals): Cardinals RHP Lance Lynn has a 2.53 ERA which has far out-performed his 4.69 FIP; things could go south in a hurry at Colorado's hitter's haven. Reynolds has a fantastic .478 wOBA vs. RHPs at home this season, and a .353 BABIP not far out of line with expectations for a slugger playing at altitude.
  • SS Didi Gregorius (40K), Yankees (vs. Athletics): Gregorius hits toward the bottom of the lineup, but a Yankees lineup which has scored 5.4 runs per game, second only to Washington, can maximize even the No. 7 hitter's plate appearances. He has been a fairly neutral hitter with a .347 wOBA overall. This will be Athletics RHP Andrew Triggs' first road start at a true hitter's park.

Top Fades

  • SS Jonathan Villar (51K), Brewers (vs. Diamondbacks): The only Brewers hitter with a worse wOBA vs. LHPs (min. 10 PAs) than Villar's .235 mark belongs to pitcher Jimmy Nelson. It's not good company to keep. Throw in a Diamondbacks catching rotation whose most frequent catcher, Jeff Mathis, has thrown out six of 14 would-be base-stealers, and it seems highly unlikely Villar returns solid value.
  • OF Nelson Cruz (59K), Mariners (at Red Sox): Cruz finds himself facing a familiar foe in Porcello; in their mutual history, Cruz has gone just 5-for-31 with a lone home run, nine strikeouts and zero walks. There are too many elite hitting options around Cruz's price to warrant taking on so much risk.
  • C Yadier Molina (50K), Cardinals (at Rockies): Molina is tied with C Jonathan Lucroy for the fourth-highest salary among catchers, though there isn't a lot working in the veteran catcher's favor. He's slashing just .264/.296/.384 against RHPs this season, and it's not like Coors Field has been a big advantage to his power numbers; in 127 career PAs in Colorado, Molina doesn't have a single home run.

Contrarian Plays

  • OF Dexter Fowler (59K), Cardinals (at Rockies): Unlike teammate Molina, Fowler does have a strong history at Coors Field, owing to spending his first six-plus major league seasons with the Rockies. Maybe a return to the mountains will elevate Fowler's .208 batting average; for his career, the Cardinals' outfielder has slashed .298/.396/.490 at Coors Field.
  • 1B Carlos Santana (61K), Indians (vs. Royals): While Cleveland's offense hasn't managed to put everything together yet, Santana could still meet the expectations set by his high salary. Being moved from leadoff duties to clean-up increases his chances to drive in runs.
  • SS Troy Tulowitzki (47K), Blue Jays (vs. Rangers): You're forgiven if you've failed to notice Tulowitzki's name reappear in the player pool; the aging shortstop just returned to action after more than a month on the disabled. Though he hit seventh, Friday, and hit the bench, Saturday, there's enough upside against inconsistent Rangers RHP Andrew Cashner.

For up-to-the-minute starting lineups, check out Baseball Press.

(Photos courtesy: Action Images)

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