College Football Betting 3-pack: Week 10

by
John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports / Reuters

The 10th week of the college football season is chock full of marquee matchups, and bettors will have plenty of opportunities to cash in on the action.

Here’s a look at three matchups that will be of note to bettors in Week 10.

Thursday, October 30

2 Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals

Lorenzo Mauldin, DE, Louisville

Spread: Florida State -3.5
Total: 50.5

Analysis: Florida State simply isn't the team we saw dominate its schedule en route to a national championship a year ago.

This year, the team's flaws have been on full display, though they've yet to run into an opponent capable of exploiting those issues. That figures to change Thursday night.

The Seminoles have been ultra-reliant on the play of quarterback Jameis Winston this season, and he's come through for them with flying colors time and time again. For his career, Winston is 20-0 as a starter, and has been the catalyst in helping the team to a 23-game winning streak - the longest active streak in the nation.

On Thursday, Winston will meet his toughest test yet. A year ago, each of Florida State's opponents finished the season outside the top 25 in defensive efficiency on passing plays. This season, every opponent Winston has faced currently ranks outside the top 40.

Louisville will be a different animal entirely for Winston and the Seminoles, as the Cardinals lead the nation in defensive efficiency on passing plays.

Additionally, from a pure betting perspective, Florida State has been a team to avoid all season. Since 2000, national champions have gone 115-62-5 ATS in the year in which they won their national championship. The following year, defending national champions have gone 76-90-2 ATS.

Florida State is 1-6 ATS this season.

Prediction: Louisville 24, Florida State 19

The Play: Louisville +3.5

The Trend: Louisville is 4-1 ATS in its last five games against opponents with a winning record.

Friday, October 31

Cincinnati Bearcats at Tulane Green Wave

Spread: Cincinnati -4
Total: 56.5

Munchie Legaux, QB, Cincinnati

Analysis: It's been a bit of an odd season for a Cincinnati team that arrived to the party late, opening its schedule with a pair of bye weeks.

The team has flexed its offensive muscles since then, ranking No. 12 in the nation in passing.

That unit will face a stern test facing Tulane's stout defense, which hasn't allowed an opponent to throw for more than 213 yards since a season-opening loss.

As for the Tulane offense, the unit has produced all of 11 points per game over the team's last four contests. They'll get a boost from the return of quarterback Tanner Lee, but he's not enough to solve the team's offensive woes, as he's completed less than 50 percent of his passes for the season.

Prediction: Cincinnati 27, Tulane 17

The Play: Under 56.5

The Trend: The under is 8-2-1 in Tulane's last 11 games following a loss.

Saturday, November 1

Navy Midshipmen vs. 6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Spread: Notre Dame -14
Total: 55.5

Keenan Reynolds, QB, Navy

Analysis: For Notre Dame, they've had trouble building up margins of late, getting involved in some tight affairs.

The Irish's last three games have been decided by a total of 14 points. That's right in line with the matchup these two teams had a year ago, when Notre Dame eked out a 38-34 win over the Midshipmen.

Navy quarterback Keenan Reynolds accounted for four touchdowns in that game, one through the air and three on the ground.

Reynolds missed some time due to injury, but he came back with a vengeance last weekend against San Jose State, rushing for a career-high 251 yards and adding three rushing touchdowns in a 41-31 win.

The nation's second-ranked rushing attack churned out 423 yards on the ground against the Spartans. Navy figures to get its yards on the ground again in this one.

Prediction: Notre Dame 31, Navy 28

The Play: Navy +14

The Trend: Navy is 5-0 ATS in its last five games after scoring more than 40 points in its previous game.

Odds courtesy Scoresandodds.com. Trends courtesy Covers, Todd Fuhrman.

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