Week 11 MACtion: Betting angles for all 6 games
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Week 11 of the college football season kicks off Tuesday with some MACtion, which trickles into Wednesday for another three-game slate.
Here's everything you need to know about the six games this week.
Akron @ Ohio (-27.5, 58.5), Nov. 11 @ 7:00 p.m. ET
It all depends on how many points bettors would need to take Akron.
The Zips were one of the worst programs in the nation a year ago, and it looks like it'll be another trying year after just one game. They weren't remotely close to covering 21 points in their opener. Akron was out-gained by 232 yards, committed a pair of turnovers, and scored one touchdown on a Western Michigan defense that was basically starting over fresh in a 58-13 loss.
Ohio also lost and failed to cover in its first game. The Bobcats look like they could be an 'over' team in 2020 after giving Central Michigan whatever it wanted offensively. Perhaps that's why this total jumped from 56.5 to 58.5.
Profitable betting trends
- Akron is 1-10 ATS the last 11 against teams with losing records
- Ohio is 6-1 to the over the last seven after a loss
Kent State @ Bowling Green (+20.5, 55), Nov. 11 @ 7:30 p.m. ET
Akron had the worst scoring margin of any MAC team in the opener, but Bowling Green may be the biggest loser from the first week. The Falcons were doubled up in yards, couldn't find the end zone, and committed three turnovers in a 38-3 loss to Toledo.
Meanwhile, Kent State survived against Eastern Michigan but couldn't cover the closing line of -4.5. This could be a nice spot to back the 'dog, considering Kent State's been a favorite just four times dating back to the start of last season.
Profitable betting trends
- Kent State is 4-1 to the under the last five as a favorite
- Bowling Green is 16-35 ATS the last 51 games overall
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo (-9.5, 56.5), Nov. 11 @ 8:00 p.m. ET
The public was against Miami (OH) in Week 1, but the program won and covered over Ball State. The Redhawks are now in the underdog role against Buffalo, where they've flourished of late, going 6-1 ATS the last seven.
The Bulls ran over Northern Illinois en route to a 49-30 win and cover. Expect another heavy dose of the ground game from Buffalo, which ran the ball nearly two out of every three plays in the opener.
Profitable betting trends
- Miami (OH) is 15-4 ATS the last 19 against MAC opponents
- Buffalo is 17-5 ATS the last 22 home games
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State (-8.5, 60.5), Nov. 12 @ 7:00 p.m. ET
Money's coming in on Ball State and the over so far this week. The Cardinals got a slight bump from -8 to -8.5, while the total's up from 58.5 to 60.5.
Eastern Michigan covered yet again as an underdog last week versus Kent State, moving the program to 21-6-1 ATS the last 28 when catching points away from home.
Ball State's offense is the unit to watch. The Redhawks fell short to Miami (OH) in Week 10, but they were explosive, recording touchdowns of 66 and 45 yards.
No surprise to see the total climb here.
Profitable betting trends
- Eastern Michigan is 21-6 ATS the last 27 road games
- Ball State is 5-0 to the over the last five overall
Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois (+7.5, 57.5), Nov. 12 @ 8:00 p.m. ET
The total's been the biggest mover so far, dropping from the opener of 61 to 57.5 despite both clubs sailing over the total last week.
Central Michigan's on a red-hot 19-6-2 run ATS the last 27 games played as a road underdog, so don't be intimidated by laying points in this spot.
Meanwhile, Northern Illinois has been a terrific bounce-back bet, going 6-0 ATS after failing to cover in the previous game.
Profitable betting trends
- Central Michigan is 4-0 to the over the last four road games
- Northern Illinois is 7-1 to the over the last eight conference games
Toledo @ Western Michigan (-2.5, 59.5), Nov. 12 @ 8:00 p.m. ET
There hasn't been a lot of movement on this game yet, but expect numbers to fly closer to game day.
Toledo didn't need to do much in its 35-point shellacking of Bowling Green. The Rockets could perhaps be one of the best buy-low teams in the MAC after suffering a multitude of injuries last season.
Western Michigan's offense ran it up on Akron, but the competition stiffens up this week. The Broncos have to be careful, considering the underdog has covered 10 of the last 14 in this series.
Profitable betting trends
- Toledo is 0-5 ATS the last five as a road 'dog
- Western Michigan is 6-1 to the under the last seven home games
(Odds source: theScore Bet)
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.