NBA Draft over/unders: Bet Giddey, fade Ayayi

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The NBA Draft over/under market can be profitable if you know where prospects are trending.

Numbers have been out for weeks now on a laundry list of draft hopefuls, from top-10 picks to second-round depth fillers. The name of the game is simple: Oddsmakers list the draft position (9.5, 10.5, etc.) for a prospect, and bettors can wager whether they'll be picked before (under) or after (over) said spot.

Let's take a look at these props and see where the value lies.

NBA Draft spot Over/Unders

Player Draft Spot Over Under
Alperen Sengun 12.5 +100 -130
Ayo Dosunmu 26.5 -125 -105
Cameron Thomas 23.5 -105 -125
Chris Duarte 15.5 +110 -140
Corey Kispert 13.5 -130 +100
Davion Mitchell 12.5 -105 -125
Franz Wagner 9.5 +140 -170
Isaiah Jackson 19.5 -150 +120
Jaden Springer 22.5 -135 +100
Jalen Johnson 14.5 -145 +115
James Bouknight 7.5 +180 -240
Joel Ayayi 40.5 -120 -110
Jonathan Kuminga 6.5 -130 +100
Josh Giddey 10.5 +155 -200
Joshua Primo 27.5 -115 -115
Kai Jones 15.5 +135 -170
Keon Johnson 12.5 -150 +115
Miles McBride 28.5 +105 -135
Moses Moody 11.5 +110 -140
Scottie Barnes 5.5 +300 -425
Sharife Cooper 22.5 -145 +115
Tre Mann 24.5 -180 +145
Trey Murphy 18.5 +100 -120
Ziaire Williams 18.5 -140 +110

These are four numbers I'd currently bet, beginning with the lowest-projected prospect.

Jonathan Kuminga over 6.5 (-130)

Kuminga made a late surge, but I don't think he'll go off the board within the first six picks.

Cade Cunningham, Jalen Green, and then Evan Mobley should hear their names called in that order Thursday. But with prospects such as Scottie Barnes, James Bouknight, and others gaining more traction, Kuminga's now a fade.

Josh Giddey under 10.5 (-200)

Giddey opened as a fringe lottery pick, which looks more and more inevitable as the clock winds down. The 18-year-old won 2021 NBL Rookie of the Year, leading the Australian league with 7.6 assists per contest.

The Aussie point guard's young, versatile, and a great modern-day fit in the NBA. Don't be surprised if Giddey's off the board as early as No. 7 to the Warriors.

Tre Mann over 24.5 (-180)

I'm willing to lay the chalk Mann gets plucked after pick No. 24. Most credible mock drafts list the Florida product in the late-20s, with some slotting him in the second round.

Mann topped out at No. 22 in ESPN's mock draft earlier this summer, but the outlet's Jonathan Givony recently inserted him at No. 25 to the Clippers.

A team has to really love Mann for him to go before 24.

Joel Ayayi over 40.5 (-125)

Ayayi opened 30.5 and has moved a whopping 10 spots - and that number's still too low.

The French shooting guard was a cog on last year's Gonzaga squad, but he might struggle to carry traits over to the pros. Ayayi won't beat many defenders off the dribble, and he only averaged a mere 1.5 free-throw attempts during his collegiate career.

I'm not sure the upside's there to pick Ayayi inside the top 40.

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. Find him on Twitter @AjKolodziej.

NBA Draft over/unders: Bet Giddey, fade Ayayi
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