Sportsbooks wasted no time opening up NBA win totals for the 2019-20 season, dropping them shortly following the culmination of The Finals.
Though we're on the cusp of a soap opera-type offseason that could drastically impact projected totals - it's already in motion with the Anthony Davis-to-Lakers trade - here's how the numbers currently stack up:
You can already tell offseason rumblings have been baked into some of these numbers. While the Nets went 42-40 this past season, their 2019-20 number is boosted with the thought that Kyrie Irving will enter the fold. And while it's not always easy to stay ahead of the market, you can try to get a head start by connecting some dots here and there.
Here are five early win totals that stick out.
The Lakers weren't going to stand pat following a season in which they missed the postseason in their first year employing LeBron James. Their win total opened at 51.5 - foreshadowing their activity in free agency - and jumped to 54.5 following the Davis haul. L.A. is reportedly not done, either. Irving, Jimmy Butler, and Kemba Walker are some of the names on the market linked to the purple and gold. The Lakers are in somewhat of a cap crunch but could have a max slot available if the Davis trade becomes official July 30, meaning one of those three players becomes more likely to join the mix.
It's an exciting time for Lakers fans, but there are obvious reasons to pump the brakes: James turns 35 in December and Davis' injury history is extensive; Kyle Kuzma is a negative defensively; there's no depth behind those three whatsoever.
It might be wise to let L.A. work a little more magic in free agency, watch the number climb even higher, then hit the under.
The Magic were one of the best teams nobody talked about last season. They used a late-season surge to clinch their first playoff berth in seven years, only to be bounced in the opening round by the eventual champs. As the Magic continue their youth movement, it's tough to pinpoint their ceiling. They don't figure to morph into a perennial contender, but this is still a franchise on the upswing that could surpass the total by winning five fewer games than its breakout season.
After crushing their win total by eight games in 2017-18, the Jazz were once again slept on in the futures market this past season, cruising past their benchmark of 46.5 with 50 victories. You can make the case 52.5 represents too big of a shift in the market's stance on this team. However, Utah actually under-performed last season, finishing with an expected win-loss percentage of .689 percent (56-26), which ranked No. 4 in the NBA. We'd continue to buy Jazz stock.
For what feels like the first time in forever, Golden State doesn't lead the pack in the win totals market. A torn Achilles for Kevin Durant and a torn ACL for Klay Thompson currently leaves the Dubs thin on talent for the 2019-20 season. However, this number is criminally low for a team whose championship window is still far from shut. The Warriors should have no problem finding players through free agency or the trade market to complement Steph Curry and Draymond Green and ultimately meet the 48-win mark.
The 76ers won 51 games during the regular season but played like a 49-win team based on expected win-loss. Also, it's not set in stone the franchise will retain both Jimmy Butler and Tobias Harris for next season. Given the question marks around how the roster might look in 2019-20, we'd lean toward the under here.
Alex Kolodziej is theScore's betting writer. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AlexKoIodziej.